Paks
Market 36.4% · BetBugs 40%
Paks have won the last three H2H meetings and Puskas Academy lost their only home league match this season.
NB IFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Paks' three-match H2H winning streak and Puskas Academy's poor home form make an away win the most likely outcome, with a small value edge at odds of 2.75.
Expect goals, but avoid the over 2.5 and BTTS markets as they are priced too short; the Paks (-1) handicap is also a trap given their narrow H2H wins.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
PaksMarket 36.4% · BetBugs 40%
Paks have won the last three H2H meetings and Puskas Academy lost their only home league match this season.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%
Paks' H2H dominance and Puskas' home struggles make the away side or draw the safer play.
BetBugs 55% · Market 71.4%
Paks' high-scoring games and H2H trend support goals, but the odds are too short to offer value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 18% leaves no cushion vs our 15% estimate; price already reflects the directional read and the handicap is too aggressive given Paks' narrow H2H wins.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Puskas AcademyPlay-offs | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5-4 | 6 |
| 7 | Paks | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8-9 | 4 |

