IFK Varnamo vs Ostersund: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Ostersund's strong recent form and higher league position (4th vs 14th) give them a clear edge, despite Varnamo's slight home improvement under new coach Bergstrand.
- Ostersund form last 5: WWDWW (4W 1D), averaging 1.6 goals for, 0.8 against
- IFK Varnamo form last 5: WWDLL (2W 1D 2L), averaging 1.4 goals for, 1.4 against
- Ostersund away record: 3W 3D 3L, 13 goals for, 11 against in 9 matches
- IFK Varnamo home record: 2W 2D 4L, 10 goals for, 10 against in 8 matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostOstersundEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Ostersund's consistency and Varnamo's struggles make a home win unlikely; the double chance covers the most probable outcomes.
- Ostersund unbeaten in last 5 (4W 1D)
- IFK Varnamo lost 4 of last 8 home games
- H2H this season: Ostersund won 3-2 at home
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or OstersundEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Varnamo's poor first-half record (0.2 goals scored, 1.0 conceded) contrasts with Ostersund's solid first-half defense; Ostersund is more likely to lead at the break.
- IFK Varnamo trailing at half-time in 60% of recent matches
- Ostersund leading at half-time in 33% of recent matches
- IFK Varnamo first half goals: 0.2 per game (last 15)
- Ostersund first half goals conceded: 0.5 per game (last 15)
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostOstersundEstimated chance40%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, and the season's H2H was high-scoring; Varnamo's home matches average exactly 2.5 goals, but Ostersund's attacking form pushes the probability over.
- IFK Varnamo last 15: 2.1 goals conceded per game, 1.0 scored
- Ostersund last 15: 1.7 goals scored per game, 1.3 conceded
- H2H this season: 5 goals total (3-2)
- IFK Varnamo home games: 10 goals for, 10 against in 8 matches (2.5 avg)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Varnamo consistently finds the net at home, while Ostersund rarely fails to score away; the pattern suggests both teams are likely to score.
- IFK Varnamo scored in 7 of last 8 home games
- Ostersund scored in 8 of last 9 away games
- Both teams scored in 3 of IFK Varnamo's last 5 home games
- Both teams scored in 5 of Ostersund's last 9 away games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Varnamo's tendency to concede early (1.0 first-half goals against) and Ostersund's moderate first-half scoring suggest at least one goal before the break is probable.
- IFK Varnamo first half goals conceded: 1.0 per game (last 15)
- Ostersund first half goals scored: 0.6 per game (last 15)
- IFK Varnamo trailing at half-time in 60% of recent matches
- Ostersund leading at half-time in 33% of recent matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score and concede more in the second half; the combined second-half goal averages exceed 1.5, making over 1.5 second-half goals likely.
- IFK Varnamo second half goals: 0.8 per game (last 15, inferred from 1.0 total - 0.2 first half)
- Ostersund second half goals: 1.1 per game (last 15, inferred from 1.7 total - 0.6 first half)
- IFK Varnamo second half goals conceded: 1.1 per game (last 15, inferred from 2.1 total - 1.0 first half)
- Ostersund second half goals conceded: 0.8 per game (last 15, inferred from 1.3 total - 0.5 first half)
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined average corners per game is exactly 10.0, and both teams have shown high corner counts in several recent matches, supporting over 9.5 corners.
- IFK Varnamo average corners per game: 4.7 (last 15)
- Ostersund average corners per game: 5.3 (last 15)
- Combined average: 10.0 corners per game
- Recent matches with corner data: Varnamo 3, 5, 3, 2, 6, 9; Ostersund 8, 1, 4, 5, 7, 8, 6, 3
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined yellow card average is 3.2, and several recent matches have seen 3+ cards; with the competitive context, over 3.5 cards is a reasonable expectation.
- IFK Varnamo average yellow cards: 1.7 per game (last 15)
- Ostersund average yellow cards: 1.5 per game (last 15)
- Combined average: 3.2 yellow cards per game
- Recent matches with card data: Varnamo 3, 2, 0, 1, 2, 2; Ostersund 0, 0, 2, 3, 3, 1, 1, 2
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

IFK Varnamo1Ostersund1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Ostersund

Draw or Ostersund

Over 2.5

Yes

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

IFK Varnamo

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

IFK Varnamo

Ostersund

Squad & Injuries

IFK Varnamo

Ostersund

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	IFK Varnamo Relegation Playoffs	18	5	2	11	22-36	17	WWDLL
4	Ostersund	18	9	5	4	28-21	32	WWDWW