Keflavik
BetBugs 45% · Market 52.4%
Keflavik's superior H2H record and Thor's poor home form give the visitors a slight edge, though Keflavik's own away struggles temper confidence.
ÚrvalsdeildFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Keflavik hold a strong H2H edge and Thor's home form is poor, but the match winner odds offer no value.
The goal markets are heavily overpriced, so the best approach is to avoid betting on Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. The second-half Over 1.5 is fairly priced but offers no edge.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
KeflavikBetBugs 45% · Market 52.4%
Keflavik's superior H2H record and Thor's poor home form give the visitors a slight edge, though Keflavik's own away struggles temper confidence.
BetBugs 68% · Market 73.5%
Thor's home win probability is low, making the double chance for Keflavik or draw a solid option.
BetBugs 60% · Market 76.9%
Both teams have leaky defenses and recent H2H matches have been high-scoring, but the odds already price in a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 34% leaves no cushion vs our 32% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thor AkureyriRelegation Playoffs | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18-44 | 15 |
| 7 | KeflavikRelegation Playoffs | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 28-34 | 22 |

