Draw or One Knoxville SC
Market 67.6% · BetBugs 72%
One Knoxville have won the last three league meetings all to nil and are 4th vs 14th, making them highly likely to avoid defeat.
USL League OneFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
One Knoxville's three straight league clean sheets against Greenville make Draw or One Knoxville the safest play, but the real value is in Under 2.5 goals (+12pt edge) and Both Teams to Score – No (+14pt edge).
Avoid the away win at 2.50 and Over 2.5 goals, as the market is mispricing the likely low-scoring nature of this matchup.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 67.6% · BetBugs 72%
One Knoxville have won the last three league meetings all to nil and are 4th vs 14th, making them highly likely to avoid defeat.
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 60%
H2H trend of three straight league meetings under 2.5 and both teams' moderate scoring averages support the under.
Market 44.4% · BetBugs 58%
Knoxville's three straight clean sheets against Greenville and Greenville's low scoring output make BTTS No attractive.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 40% vs our 45% estimate yields only a 5pt edge, which is below the medium-confidence threshold for a liquid 1X2 market.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Greenville Triumph | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21-32 | 19 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SCPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 33-21 | 36 |

