AFC Eskilstuna or Draw
Market 49% · BetBugs 52%
AFC's strong recent form and H2H success against Hammarby TFF make them likely to avoid defeat, especially with home advantage.
Ettan - NorraFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Hammarby TFF are the likely winners given their perfect away record, but at 1.67 the odds offer no value (our estimate 48%).
The only positive edges are AFC or Draw double chance (+3pts) and Over 1.5 second-half goals (+2pts), both too small to justify a bet. Avoid Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes, which are heavily overpriced.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 49% · BetBugs 52%
AFC's strong recent form and H2H success against Hammarby TFF make them likely to avoid defeat, especially with home advantage.
Market 53.2% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams tend to score more in the second half, making over 1.5 second-half goals a reasonable expectation.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Hammarby TFFBetBugs 48% · Market 60%
Hammarby TFF's perfect away record and superior league position give them a clear edge, though AFC's recent form and home motivation keep this from being a high-confidence call.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 60% leaves no cushion vs our 48% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AFC Eskilstuna | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27-25 | 25 |
| 1 | Hammarby TFF | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 44-13 | 36 |

