Draw or Torslanda IK
Market 75% · BetBugs 80%
Astrio have not led at halftime in any of their last 5 matches, and Torslanda have only trailed at halftime in 2 of 7 away games, making a home lead at the break unlikely.
Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Torslanda IK are strong favorites to avoid defeat against a struggling BK Astrio side, with the first-half double chance (Draw or Torslanda) offering a +5pt edge at 1.33.
Avoid the full-time match winner and Over 2.5 goals markets, which are overpriced relative to our model.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 75% · BetBugs 80%
Astrio have not led at halftime in any of their last 5 matches, and Torslanda have only trailed at halftime in 2 of 7 away games, making a home lead at the break unlikely.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 80% · Market 83%
Astrio have failed to win in 14 of 15 league games, while Torslanda have drawn 5 of 7 away matches, making the away double chance extremely safe.
BetBugs 75% · Market 83.3%
Both teams have a strong tendency for first-half goals, with Astrio's defensive frailties increasing the likelihood of an early breakthrough.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
The odds of 1.73 imply a 57.8% chance, which is close to our 55% estimate, leaving no meaningful edge.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BK Astrio | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11-31 | 6 |
| 9 | Torslanda IK | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20-21 | 19 |

