Jerome Kym #222SwitzerlandvsLucas Poullain #328France

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Kym has beaten far stronger opposition recently and holds a clear serve advantage, while Poullain's solid record was built almost entirely against much lower-ranked players.

• Kym 8-4 on hard in last 12; Poullain 8-7 in 15 hard matches
• Hard-court total points won: Kym 52.1% vs Poullain 51.0%
• Kym 10.4 aces and 74.9% first-serve points won per hard match; Poullain 2.1 aces and 69.3%
• Kym's recent wins over Shelton (No.4) and Rinderknech (No.61); Poullain's recent wins mostly against players ranked 400-900

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Kym's sets are consistently close, but Poullain's matches have been short, so the combined expectation sits just above the line.

• Kym's hard-court matches average 25.9 total games
• Poullain's hard-court matches average 20.3 total games
• Kym's scorelines on hard: four 2-0, four 2-1 in 12 matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Poullain's second sets have been short and tiebreak-free, tipping the second-set total slightly toward nine games or fewer.

• Poullain's set2 on hard averages 8.67 total games
• Poullain has no tiebreaks in 15 second sets
• Kym's set2 on hard averages 10.25 total games

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Two solid serving records and Kym's frequent first-set tiebreaks point to a slightly longer opening set.

• Kym's set1 on hard averages 10.33 total games with five tiebreaks in 12
• Poullain's set1 on hard averages 9.6 total games
• Both players hold strong first-serve percentages (74.9% and 69.3% points won)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Kym starts sets strongly with the bigger serve and holds a modest edge in first-set results on this surface.

• Kym won set1 in seven of 12 hard-court matches
• Poullain won set1 in seven of 15 hard-court matches
• Kym averages 5.75 games won to 4.58 lost in set1 on hard

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Kym's overall strength advantage carries into the second set, though his margin there is narrower than in the first.

• Kym won set2 in seven of 12 hard-court matches
• Poullain won set2 in eight of 15 hard-court matches
• Kym averages 5.42 games won to 4.83 lost in set2 on hard

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Poullain's matches on this surface are usually decided in straight sets, making a two-set finish the slightly more likely outcome.

• Ten of Poullain's 15 hard-court matches finished 2-0 either way
• Poullain's average sets per hard match is 2.2
• Kym has four 2-0 wins and two 0-2 losses in 12 hard matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Kym's heavy serving should supply most of the aces, with Poullain's contribution pushing the combined total past the line.

• Kym averages 10.4 aces per hard-court match
• Poullain averages 2.1 aces per hard-court match
• Kym has an average hard-court match length of 111.6 minutes

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Kym's double-fault rate is the dominant factor and should combine with Poullain's to reach five or more.

• Kym averages 3.4 double faults per hard-court match
• Poullain averages 1.3 double faults per hard-court match
• Kym had 41 double faults in 12 hard-court matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Two well-holding servers and Kym's frequent close sets make at least one tiebreak slightly more likely than not.

• Seven of Kym's 12 hard-court matches featured a tiebreak
• Kym has five first-set tiebreaks in 12 hard matches
• Poullain has only three tiebreaks in 15 hard-court matches