Jerome Kym #196Switzerland22 – 0Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #283France0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Kym's superior clay pedigree, H2H dominance, and stronger recent form against better opposition give him a clear edge.

• Kym leads H2H 2-0, both on hard/indoor hard, but shows ability to handle Gueymard Wayenburg's game.
• Kym's career clay win percentage is higher (91 wins vs 50 for Gueymard Wayenburg) and he has two Challenger clay titles.
• Kym's recent form includes wins over higher-ranked opponents (e.g., Holmgren #143, Landaluce #60) and competitive losses to Safiullin (#132) and Droguet (#116).
• Gueymard Wayenburg's last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 losses, but losses came against lower-ranked players (Kasnikowski #284, Alcala Gurri #228).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Competitive serve/return dynamics and recent match lengths point to a match exceeding 21.5 games.

• Both players have high break-point conversion rates (Kym 42%, Gueymard Wayenburg 42.5%) and moderate save rates (Kym 61.8%, Gueymard Wayenburg 58.1%), leading to many breaks.
• Kym's recent matches average 22.3 total games; Gueymard Wayenburg's average 21.8.
• H2H matches had 25 and 20 games, both competitive.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players frequently engage in tight first sets, making over 9.5 games likely.

• Kym's recent first sets: 6-0, 4-6, 6-4, 4-6, 3-6, 0-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-7, 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4, 5-7 — many competitive.
• Gueymard Wayenburg's recent first sets: 7-6, 4-6, 4-6, 7-6, 2-6, 7-5, 4-6, 4-6, 3-6, 4-6, 6-7, 6-2, 5-7, 6-4, 7-5 — often tight.
• H2H first sets: 6-3, 6-4.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets tend to be closely contested, with many going to 10+ games.

• Kym's second sets often competitive: 2-6, 7-6, 6-3, 7-5, 7-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4, 5-7, 6-4, 7-6.
• Gueymard Wayenburg's second sets: 4-6, 2-6, 6-3, 3-6, 5-7, 6-1, 3-6, 3-6, 4-6, 7-6, 1-6, 6-3, 2-6, 6-4, 6-4.
• H2H second sets: 4-6, 6-4.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Gueymard Wayenburg's ability to push sets tight makes a +3.5 game handicap cover plausible.

• Kym's average margin in wins is ~4 games, but Gueymard Wayenburg's recent losses are often by 5+ games.
• H2H margins: 3 games and 4 games.
• Gueymard Wayenburg's competitive sets suggest he can keep it close.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Kym's high first-set conversion rate and H2H pattern suggest he is likely to take the opener.

• Kym's first-set win conversion rate is 87% career, indicating strong starts.
• Gueymard Wayenburg's first-set win conversion is 84%, but his recent first sets have been inconsistent (lost first set in 3 of last 5 matches).
• Kym won the first set in both previous H2H meetings.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Gueymard Wayenburg's high double fault rate and H2H history make over 5.5 double faults likely.

• Kym's double fault rate is 3.8%, Gueymard Wayenburg's is 6.2%.
• Gueymard Wayenburg averages ~4 double faults per match, Kym ~2.5.
• H2H matches had 9 and 13 double faults (average 11).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players frequently engage in tiebreaks, and their serve/return profiles support at least one in this match.

• Kym's tiebreak win rate is 57%, Gueymard Wayenburg's is 47%.
• Kym has played 5 tiebreaks in last 15 matches; Gueymard Wayenburg has played 4.
• H2H one match featured a tiebreak.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Combined ace rates and H2H ace counts suggest a total above 8.5 is plausible.

• Kym's ace rate is 10.6%, Gueymard Wayenburg's is 8.9%.
• Kym averages ~6 aces per match, Gueymard Wayenburg ~5.
• H2H matches had 17 and 16 total aces (average 16.5).