Alice Tubello #207France22 – 1Jazmin Ortenzi #150Argentina1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Tubello's stronger clay record and set-by-set consistency make her the more likely winner in a close match.

• Clay record over the tracked window: 10 wins, 4 losses.
• Set 1 and set 2 records are both 11 wins, 3 losses in clay best-of-three matches.
• Recent clay wins include Laura Samson (ranked 116) and Luna Maria Cinalli.
• Ortenzi is ranked 150 to Tubello's 207.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

First sets have generally finished below the 9.5-game line in the available sample.

• Tubello's first-set total averages 8.86 games.
• Ortenzi's first-set total averages 9.1 games.
• Tubello has no first-set tiebreaks in 14 clay best-of-three matches.
• Ortenzi has no first-set tiebreaks in 10 clay best-of-three matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second-set totals are close to the line but slightly favour the under.

• Tubello's second-set total averages 8.86 games.
• Ortenzi's second-set total averages 9.3 games.
• Tubello has only one second-set tiebreak in 14 clay matches.
• Ortenzi has only one second-set tiebreak in 10 clay matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Both players' clay matches sit close to the 20.5-game line, with a reasonable chance of a third set.

• Tubello's clay best-of-three matches average 20.9 total games.
• Ortenzi's clay best-of-three matches average 20.1 total games.
• Tubello's average match length is 2.29 sets; Ortenzi's is 2.2 sets.
• Both players have had two three-set matches in their last six completed matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Tubello's second-set record is strong and gives her a slight advantage.

• Tubello has won 11 of 14 second sets on clay.
• Tubello's second-set games average is 5.5 won and 3.36 lost.
• Ortenzi has lost three of ten second sets on clay.
• Ortenzi's second-set games average is 5.1 won and 4.2 lost.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Tiebreaks have been rare in the available clay matches.

• Tubello has two tiebreaks in 14 clay matches.
• Ortenzi has one tiebreak in 10 clay matches.
• Tubello's set 1 and set 2 tiebreak counts are zero and one.
• Ortenzi's set 1 and set 2 tiebreak counts are zero and one.