Jenson Brooksby #99United States22 – 0Patrick Maloney #864United States0

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The level gap is large: Brooksby plays week to week against far stronger opposition than Maloney, whose wins here have come against much lower-ranked players.

• Brooksby is ATP No. 99 and top seed; Maloney is No. 864 and entered on a protected ranking
• Brooksby is 8-7 on hard in this window; Maloney is 7-6 on hard
• Brooksby won 51.2% of total points across 15 hard matches; Maloney's aggregate serve and return data is unavailable
• Maloney's recent wins came against opponents ranked 208, 332 and 441

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Maloney's level drops sharply in second sets, while Brooksby's second-set record is his better one on this surface.

• Brooksby won 8 of 14 second sets on hard
• Maloney won only 3 of 13 second sets on hard
• Maloney's second sets average 4.7 games won to 6.2 lost
• Maloney had four second-set tiebreaks in 13 hard matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Brooksby is the clear favourite and his recent wins have been completed in straight sets, so a two-set finish is the most likely shape.

• Brooksby's 14 hard matches averaged 2.14 sets, with six 2-0 wins
• Maloney's 13 hard matches averaged 2.46 sets
• Brooksby won 2-0 in his most recent match against Timo Legout
• Maloney has been beaten 0-2 in four of 13 hard matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Maloney starts matches well, but against a top-100 opponent his first-set record should regress, leaving Brooksby the more likely opener.

• Brooksby won set 1 in 6 of 14 hard matches
• Maloney won set 1 in 9 of 13 hard matches
• Brooksby lost the first set 3-6 to Krueger before winning in three
• Maloney's first sets average 5.5 games won to 3.8 lost

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

A straight-sets win fits both Brooksby's recent results and Maloney's tendency to fade in second sets.

• Brooksby has six 2-0 wins in his 14 hard matches
• Maloney has been beaten 0-2 in four of 13 hard matches
• Brooksby won his latest match 6-2 6-4
• Brooksby won 69.9% of first-serve points on hard

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Brooksby's solid serving and the level gap make clean set finishes more likely than 6-6 deciders.

• Only 2 of Brooksby's 14 hard matches contained a tiebreak
• Maloney's hard matches produced 6 tiebreaks in 13
• Brooksby won 69.9% of first-serve points and 68.4% of first serves landed
• Maloney's average set scores are often closed out before 6-6