Alexander Shevchenko #111Kazakhstan00 – 2Mattia Bellucci #86Italy2

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Bellucci has served and returned more effectively across a larger hard-court sample and holds the better ranking.

• Bellucci is 10-5 on hard courts with 52.9% total points won and a 56.6% game-win rate.
• Shevchenko is 3-6 on hard courts with 49.0% total points won and a 48.1% game-win rate.
• Bellucci ranks No. 86 and won both Jinan matches in straight sets.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Most of these players' hard-court matches have finished in two sets.

• Bellucci's 13 hard-court matches include nine straight-set results.
• Eight of Bellucci's nine hard-court wins were 2-0.
• Shevchenko won his last two Jinan matches in straight sets.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.44

The read

Bellucci's second-set record is markedly stronger than Shevchenko's.

• Bellucci is 10-3 in second sets on hard courts.
• Shevchenko is 3-5 in second sets.
• Bellucci saved 69.2% of break points on this surface.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.44

The read

Bellucci has started matches strongly and wins most first sets on this surface.

• Bellucci is 10-3 in first sets on hard courts in this window.
• Shevchenko is 4-4 in first sets over his eight hard-court matches.
• Bellucci's first-serve points won (74.9%) outpace Shevchenko's (72.8%).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.90

The read

Bellucci has won most of his hard-court matches in straight sets and is the clear favourite here.

• Bellucci's 13 hard-court matches include eight 2-0 wins.
• His 10 hard-court wins include eight straight-set results.
• Shevchenko's hard-court set records are 4-4 in first sets and 3-5 in second sets.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Recent hard-court matches for both players have usually avoided tiebreaks.

• Only one of Shevchenko's eight hard-court matches had a tiebreak.
• Three of Bellucci's 13 hard-court matches had a tiebreak.
• Most of their sets have been decided by a break.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined per-match ace average is slightly under the line.

• Bellucci averages 7.8 aces per match on hard courts; Shevchenko 6.4.
• The combined average is about 14.2 per match.
• Straight-set matches reduce the chance of a high total.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The combined double-fault rate sits right at the line.

• Shevchenko averages 3.2 double faults per match on hard courts.
• Bellucci averages 2.3.
• Combined average is about 5.5.