Jasmine Paolini #20Italy22 – 0Sara Bejlek #29Czechia0

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Paolini has kept her recent game margins close, and every three-set match she plays keeps this line covered.

• Paolini's last six hard-court matches total 64 games won and 67 lost, a margin of -3.
• Two of her six hard-court matches went to a deciding set and another included a 7-6 set.
• Paolini's three hard-court wins in this run came by +2, +4 and +7 games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

First sets for both players have averaged just under ten games.

• Paolini's first sets average 9.0 games on hard (4.8 won, 4.2 lost).
• Bejlek's first sets average 9.5 games (4.6 won, 4.9 lost).
• First-set tiebreaks: Paolini 0 in 6 matches, Bejlek 3 in 15.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Straight-set finishes dominate the recent hard-court records of both players.

• 15 of the pair's 21 recent hard-court matches finished in straight sets.
• Paolini's six hard-court matches average 2.33 sets; Bejlek's 15 average 2.27.
• Paolini's hard-court scorelines: two 2-0 wins, one 2-1 win, two 0-2 losses, one 1-2 loss.
• Bejlek's: six 2-0 wins, three 2-1 wins, five 0-2 losses, one 1-2 loss.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Paolini's first-set record is the better of the two small samples, though only by a narrow amount.

• Paolini has won the first set in 4 of her last 6 hard-court matches.
• Bejlek's first-set record on hard is 7-8 across 15 matches.
• Paolini averages 4.8 games won per first set on hard, Bejlek 4.6.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Tiebreaks have appeared in fewer than a third of this pair's recent hard-court matches.

• 6 of the pair's 21 recent hard-court matches contained a tiebreak.
• Paolini: two of her last six hard-court matches; Bejlek: four of her last 15.
• First-set tiebreaks: Paolini 0 in 6 matches, Bejlek 3 in 15.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Combined recent rates put the pair at roughly five to six double faults per match.

• Paolini averaged 3.8 double faults in her last four hard-court matches (15 in total).
• Her 13-match overall rate is 2.4 double faults per match.
• Bejlek averages 2.5 double faults per hard-court match (38 in 15).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Two modest servers combine for roughly three aces, just above the line.

• Paolini averages 1.5 aces per hard-court match (6 in four) and 1.0 across her last 13 matches.
• Bejlek averages 1.5 aces per hard-court match (22 in 15).
• Combined that is about three aces per match.