Novak Djokovic #11Serbia00 – 2Hubert Hurkacz #34Poland2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Djokovic has dominated this matchup and arrives with strong recent wins.

• Djokovic has won all eight ATP meetings between the pair.
• Djokovic won the Beijing title the week before Shanghai.
• Djokovic beat No. 5 Medvedev and No. 2 Zverev in his last two completed matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets in this matchup and for Djokovic often exceed nine games.

• Djokovic's second sets average 11.5 total games.
• Five of six head-to-head second sets went over 9.5 games.
• Hurkacz's second sets average 10.17 total games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30

The read

The head-to-head and Djokovic's matches suggest a total near or above the line.

• Djokovic's best-of-three hard matches average 27.75 total games.
• Hurkacz's hard best-of-three matches average 24.92 total games.
• Head-to-head best-of-three matches average 27.2 total games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Recent evidence points to a close match that often goes the distance.

• Djokovic's best-of-three hard matches average 2.75 sets.
• Three of Djokovic's last four hard best-of-three matches went to three sets.
• Three of the five best-of-three head-to-head matches went to a deciding set.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Head-to-head history gives Djokovic a slight edge in the opening set.

• Djokovic won the first set in four of six head-to-head meetings.
• Djokovic's first-set record on hard best-of-three is 2-2.
• Hurkacz's first-set record on hard best-of-three is 7-5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Djokovic has a strong record in second sets against Hurkacz.

• Djokovic won the second set in five of six head-to-head meetings.
• Djokovic's second-set record on hard best-of-three is 3-1.
• Hurkacz's second-set record on hard best-of-three is 10-2.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players serve well enough to force at least one tiebreak.

• Hurkacz has had tiebreaks in 7 of 12 hard best-of-three matches.
• Djokovic has had tiebreaks in 2 of 4 hard best-of-three matches.
• Four of five head-to-head best-of-three matches featured at least one tiebreak.