Roman Safiullin #98Russia22 – 0Bu Yunchaokete #118China0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.95

The read

Safiullin has served better on hard courts and holds a slightly larger share of total points, so he is narrowly ahead in an even matchup.

• Hard-court record this window: Safiullin 4-3, Bu 9-5
• Hard-court total points won: Safiullin 51.5%, Bu 50.4%
• Hard-court second-serve points won: Safiullin 60%, Bu 48.4%
• Safiullin beat fourth seed Halys in the round of 16

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Safiullin can afford to lose by up to two games, which covers nearly all of his recent results.

• Safiullin's recent six match margins: +3, +10, -6, -2, -5, +5 games
• Four of those six margins were -2 games or better
• Safiullin's hard-court games won: 53%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Safiullin only needs to avoid losing by two games or more, a margin he has exceeded in four of his last six matches.

• Safiullin's recent six match margins: +3, +10, -6, -2, -5, +5 games
• Four of those six margins were -2 games or better
• Bu's hard-court matches average 2.5 sets

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Safiullin has been notably stronger in second sets on hard courts, winning five of six.

• Safiullin's hard-court set2 record: 5 wins, 1 loss
• Bu's hard-court set2 record: 7 wins, 5 losses
• Safiullin won set 2 6-3 in the round of 16 against Halys

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Neither player is an especially heavy server on hard courts, leaving the combined total short of the line.

• Safiullin averages 5.4 aces per hard-court match
• Bu averages 5.9 aces per hard-court match
• Combined hard-court average is about 11 aces

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Safiullin's service games have been hard to push to a tiebreak, and his last two matches had none.

• 1 of Safiullin's 6 hard-court matches contained a tiebreak
• 6 of Bu's 12 hard-court matches contained a tiebreak
• Safiullin's last two rounds produced no tiebreak

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The pair average roughly six double faults per hard-court match, just below the line.

• Safiullin averages 2.6 double faults per hard-court match
• Bu averages 3.4 double faults per hard-court match
• Combined average is about six per match against a line of 6.5