FranceRennes - FranceFinished

Predictions graded

Borna Gojo #163Croatia2Daniel Masur #397Germany0

Sets 6-4 · 7-6Tue 15 Sept 2026, 12:45 Predictions gradedFirst RoundI.hard

Predictions6–275%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageBorna Gojo · 234 places

Borna Gojo

Croatia

A 196 cm Croatian right-hander who reached a career-high No. 72 on 20 November 2023. The supplied structured feed lists his current ranking at No. 163.

Current ranking: #163
Peak ranking: #72 · 2023
Current age: 28
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 196 cm

Daniel Masur

Germany

Masur reached a career-high singles ranking of No. 176 in March 2022. ITF lists hard courts as his preferred surface; current match data lists him at No. 397.

Current ranking: #397
Peak ranking: #176 · 2022
Current age: 31
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 14 Sep 2026, 22:37 · Europe/Bucharest

Gojo's superior serve and recent H2H win give him a slight edge, but Masur's strong form (5 wins in last 6) makes this a close match.

Betting value lies with Masur +3.5 games and over 15.5 total aces; avoid the match winner market on Gojo at 1.44.

Context

Gojo, ranked 162, is the higher-ranked player and has a career win percentage of 59.4%.
Gojo's recent hard-court record is 5-4 with wins over players ranked 115 and 124, while Masur is 3-2 on hard courts with wins over lower-ranked opponents. This suggests Gojo may have a slight edge on this surface, but the sample sizes are small.
- Gojo's last 15 hard-court matches: 5 wins, 4 losses.
- Masur's last 5 hard-court matches: 3 wins, 2 losses.
- Gojo's recent hard-court wins include opponents ranked 115 and 124.
Masur, ranked 378, has been playing more matches and has a career win percentage of 57.3%.
Masur's recent overall record is 10-5, compared to Gojo's 8-7. However, Masur's wins have come against lower-ranked opponents, so the quality of opposition may be a factor.
- Masur's last 15 matches: 10 wins, 5 losses.
- Gojo's last 15 matches: 8 wins, 7 losses.
- Masur's recent wins include opponents ranked 567, 875, and 199.
The two players have met four times, with each winning twice.
Gojo won their most recent match in April 2025 on clay, but Masur won their previous meeting in 2022. The surface for this match is indoor hard, where they have not played each other.
- H2H record: 2-2.
- Gojo won the most recent meeting in 2025.
- No previous meetings on indoor hard.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Borna Gojo

1.44fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 69.4%

0.0ppshort

Gojo's superior serve metrics and recent H2H win give him a slight edge despite Masur's better recent record.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Gojo's superior serve metrics and recent H2H win give him a slight edge despite Masur's better recent record.
- Gojo leads H2H 2-2, but won most recent meeting 6-3 7-6(6) in Apr 2025.
- Gojo last15 overall record 8-7 (53.3%) vs Masur 10-5 (66.7%), but Gojo faced stronger opponents (avg rank ~200 vs ~350).
- Gojo last15 Hard record 5-4 (55.6%) with 11.6 aces/match and 79.9% first-serve points won.
- Masur last15 I.hard record 2-0 (100%) but only 2 matches tracked; overall first-serve points won 73.9% vs Gojo 79.4%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBorna GojoEstimated chance58%

Games3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Masur's strong recent form and competitive H2H history make him likely to cover a +3.5 game handicap.
- Masur last15 record 10-5 (66.7%) vs Gojo 8-7 (53.3%).
- Masur has won 5 of last 6 matches, including two on indoor hard this week.
- Gojo's recent form is inconsistent, with losses to lower-ranked players.
- H2H matches have been close, with average margin of 3.5 games.
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonDaniel Masur +3.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent match lengths and competitive H2H history suggest a match likely to exceed 22.5 games.
- Gojo last15 average games per match: 22.1 (170 games in 15 matches).
- Masur last15 average games per match: 24.5 (188 games in 15 matches).
- H2H matches have averaged 22.8 games, with two of four going to tiebreaks.
- Both players have similar total points won percentages (50.8% vs 50.4%), indicating close matches.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 22.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent first sets have been competitive, with several going to tiebreaks or 7-5 scores.
- Gojo last15 first-set average games: 9.7 (based on set scores).
- Masur last15 first-set average games: 10.1.
- H2H first sets: 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 (average 9.5).
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance58%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gojo's stronger serve and first-set conversion history support a slight edge in the opening set.
- Gojo first-set win conversion career 83% vs Masur 82%.
- Gojo last15 first-serve points won 79.4% vs Masur 73.9%.
- Gojo won first set in most recent H2H (6-3).
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonBorna GojoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Masur's recent second-set performance and stronger second serve give him a slight edge in set 2.
- Masur has won second set in 4 of last 5 matches.
- Gojo has lost second set in 3 of last 5 matches.
- Masur's second-serve points won 51.3% vs Gojo 44.9% in last15.
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerlostDaniel MasurEstimated chance50%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Gojo's high ace rate combined with Masur's moderate ace count suggests total aces likely to exceed 15.5.
- Gojo last15 aces per match: 10.3 (154 aces in 15 matches).
- Masur last15 aces per match: 5.3 (74 aces in 14 matches).
- Combined average aces per match: 15.6.
- Gojo's serve is a major weapon, especially on indoor hard.
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 15.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have relatively low double fault rates, making under 6.5 total double faults likely.
- Gojo last15 double faults per match: 3.5 (52 in 15 matches).
- Masur last15 double faults per match: 2.1 (29 in 14 matches).
- Combined average double faults per match: 5.6.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableUnder 6.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The close nature of this matchup and both players' tiebreak frequency make a tiebreak likely.
- Gojo career tiebreak win rate 53%, Masur 49%.
- H2H: 3 of 4 matches featured at least one tiebreak.
- Both players have played multiple tiebreaks in recent matches (Gojo 4 in last 15, Masur 6 in last 15).
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonYesEstimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

2-2 (4 meetings)

W6-3 7-6(6)Borna Gojo#162vDaniel Masur#378Apr 12, 2025

L6-7(6) 7-6(5) 7-6(1)Borna Gojo#162vDaniel Masur#378Jun 13, 2022

W6-4 7-6(4)Borna Gojo#162vDaniel Masur#378Nov 10, 2021

L6-3 6-0Borna Gojo#162vDaniel Masur#378Oct 31, 2018

4 total meetings

Previous match context available

Borna Gojo

8W 7L

6-4 6-4#124Bu Yunchaokete

6-1 6-4#175Zdenek Kolar

3-6 6-3 6-1#196Harry Wendelken

6-4 2-6 7-6(3)#731Sebastian Gorzny

6-4 4-6 6-4#214Felix Gill

6-2 6-4#368Dhakshineswar Suresh

6-2 6-2#731Sebastian Gorzny

6-4 6-4#222Colton Smith

7-6(10) 6-2#112Chak Lam Coleman Wong

7-5 6-3#143Jurij Rodionov

6-3 3-6 7-6(9)#118Henrique Rocha

6-3 6-4#332Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

6-4 6-3#83Marco Trungelliti

7-6(5) 6-2#379Juan Pablo Ficovich

6-4 7-6(5)#115Nicolas Mejia

Daniel Masur

10W 5L

7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(10)#567Daniel De Jonge 6-4 6-4#875Adrien Gobat 7-6(2) 7-5#152Mark Lajal 2-6 6-4 7-6(3)#199Ugo Blanchet

5-7 6-3 6-1#143Jurij Rodionov

6-4 6-4#281Dan Added

7-6(4) 7-6(5)#488Luca Potenza

7-6(3) 6-1#306Facundo Mena

6-7(0) 6-4 6-4#318Max Schoenhaus

6-4 6-4#366Petr Brunclik

6-7(5) 6-3 6-3#357Arthur Nagel

7-6(7) 6-3#746Maximilian Marterer

7-6(8) 6-3—David Fix

6-4 6-3#740Calvin Mueller

6-1 6-2#318Oriol Roca Batalla

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

BGBorna GojoGojo

Last 15

2–4

9 core stats · 3 even

Daniel MasurMasurDM

Daniel Masur carries the stronger recent form — Borna Gojo's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In15/15 · 14/1561.4%+1.2pp62.6%

1st Serve Won15/15 · 14/1579.4%+5.5pp73.9%

2nd Serve Won15/15 · 14/1544.9%+6.4pp51.3%

Aces / Match15/15 · 14/1510.3+5.05.3

Double Faults / Match15/15 · 14/153.51.4 fewer2.1

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

Return Pts Won15/15 · 14/1535.6%—35.8%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

Break Pts Converted15/15 · 14/1534.1%+4.1pp38.2%

Break Pts Saved15/15 · 14/1562.2%—62.0%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won15/15 · 14/1550.8%—50.4%

Serve · 2–3

61.4%1st Serve In15/15 · 14/15+1.2pp62.6%

79.4%1st Serve Won15/15 · 14/15+5.5pp73.9%

44.9%2nd Serve Won15/15 · 14/15+6.4pp51.3%

10.3Aces / Match15/15 · 14/15+5.05.3

3.5Double Faults / Match15/15 · 14/151.4 fewer2.1

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

35.6%Return Pts Won15/15 · 14/15—35.8%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

34.1%Break Pts Converted15/15 · 14/15+4.1pp38.2%

62.2%Break Pts Saved15/15 · 14/15—62.0%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

50.8%Total Pts Won15/15 · 14/15—50.4%