Mark Lajal #157Estonia22 – 0Daniel Masur #397Germany0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15

The read

Lajal's superior recent form and hard-court performance give him a clear edge in this semi-final.

• Mark Lajal has a 73.3% win rate in his last 15 matches (11-4), while Daniel Masur has 60% (9-6).
• Lajal's last 15 hard-court stats show 57.1% games won and 53.7% total points won, compared to Masur's 49.6% games won and 50.1% total points won on hard.
• Lajal has won 8 of his last 10 matches, including a 6-3 6-0 win over Robin Bertrand in the quarterfinals; Masur needed three sets in his last two wins.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The first set is likely to be competitive, with both players capable of holding serve and extending the set.

• Lajal's recent first sets have included 9, 13, and 9 games, averaging over 9.5.
• Masur's recent first sets have included 8, 12, and 8 games, also averaging over 9.5.
• Both players have shown the ability to push sets to tiebreaks or extended games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined average games per match for both players suggests a competitive match likely to exceed 21.5 games.

• Lajal's last 15 matches average 22.4 games per match (336 total games / 15 matches).
• Masur's last 15 matches average 23.3 games per match (349 total games / 15 matches).
• Both players have had several three-set matches recently, increasing total games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The second set could be tighter if Masur raises his level, leading to more games.

• Lajal's recent second sets have included 3, 3, and 3 games in wins, but also 7 and 6 in losses, showing variability.
• Masur's recent second sets have included 4, 3, and 4 games in wins, but also 6 and 7 in losses.
• If the match is competitive, the second set could see more games as players adjust.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Lajal's tendency to start fast and his higher first-set win rate make him the likely first-set winner.

• Lajal has won the first set in 10 of his last 15 matches (66.7%), while Masur has won the first set in 8 of his last 15 (53.3%).
• Lajal's first-set win conversion rate is 84% career, indicating he often capitalizes on early leads.
• In his last three matches, Lajal won the first set 6-3, 6-7(3), and 6-3, showing strong starts.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have decent ace counts, and a three-set match could push the total over 10.5.

• Lajal averages 6.5 aces per match in his last 15 matches.
• Masur averages 5.0 aces per match in his last 14 matches with ace data.
• Combined, they average 11.5 aces per match, slightly above the 10.5 line.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The combined double fault average suggests a slight lean towards over 6.5, though variance is high.

• Lajal averages 4.3 double faults per match in his last 15 matches.
• Masur averages 2.7 double faults per match in his last 14 matches with data.
• Combined, they average 7.0 double faults per match, just over the 6.5 line.