Alex Marti Pujolras #524Spain22 – 0Dimitris Sakellaridis #561Greece0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 3.30

The read

Sakellaridis has better recent form, a direct clay H2H win, and a slight return edge, making him the more likely winner.

• Last 15 overall record: Sakellaridis 60% (9-6) vs Pujolras 46.7% (7-8)
• Clay last 15: Sakellaridis 60% (6-4) vs Pujolras 50% (7-7)
• H2H on clay (2026-07-27): Sakellaridis won 6-4 4-6 6-2
• Sakellaridis return points won last 15: 42% vs Pujolras 40.2%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have competitive recent matches and their H2H went three sets with 28 games, supporting a longer match.

• Pujolras last 15 average duration: 123.4 minutes
• Sakellaridis last 15 average duration: 97.4 minutes
• H2H total games: 28 (6-4 4-6 6-2)
• Pujolras last 15 games won percentage: 48.4%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players hold serve well on first serve, and their previous first set reached 10 games, suggesting a tight opener.

• H2H first set: 6-4 (10 games)
• Pujolras last 15 first serve points won: 68.4%
• Sakellaridis last 15 first serve points won: 69.2%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second serves are vulnerable for both, and their H2H second set also went to 10 games, indicating a competitive set.

• H2H second set: 4-6 (10 games)
• Pujolras last 15 second serve points won: 41.5%
• Sakellaridis last 15 second serve points won: 44.2%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Sakellaridis has a better recent games won percentage and won the H2H by four games, supporting a small handicap cover.

• Sakellaridis last 15 games won percentage: 53.3%
• Pujolras last 15 games won percentage: 48.4%
• H2H Sakellaridis won 16 games vs Pujolras 12

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Sakellaridis took the first set in their only meeting and has comparable first-set conversion, giving him a slight edge.

• Sakellaridis first set win conversion career: 87%
• Pujolras first set win conversion career: 87%
• H2H first set: Sakellaridis won 6-4