Johan Nikles #420Switzerland22 – 0Filip Cristian Jianu #279Romania0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.25

The read

Jianu's higher ranking and stronger clay pedigree outweigh Nikles' slightly better recent form, though Nikles' superior return game keeps this competitive.

• Jianu ranking 269 vs Nikles 424
• Jianu clay career 316-? vs Nikles 243-?
• Jianu last15 clay record 5-8, Nikles 8-7
• Jianu last15 return points won 34.8% vs Nikles 43%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Nikles' recent matches have been longer and more competitive, and his return strength should extend rallies and games against Jianu.

• Nikles last15 average 23.0 games per match
• Jianu last15 average 16.9 games per match
• Nikles last15 8 of 15 matches went over 21.5 games
• Jianu last15 5 of 15 matches went over 21.5 games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have shown competitive opening sets, and Nikles' return ability should prevent a quick first set.

• Nikles last15 set1 average 9.7 games
• Jianu last15 set1 average 8.9 games
• Nikles last15 9 of 15 set1s went over 9.5 games
• Jianu last15 6 of 15 set1s went over 9.5 games

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The second set is likely to remain competitive given Nikles' resilience and Jianu's occasional lapses.

• Nikles last15 set2 average 9.5 games
• Jianu last15 set2 average 8.5 games
• Nikles last15 7 of 15 set2s went over 9.5 games
• Jianu last15 5 of 15 set2s went over 9.5 games

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Jianu's slightly better first-serve effectiveness and similar first-set conversion rates give him a marginal edge in the opening set.

• Jianu first set win conversion 88% career
• Nikles first set win conversion 87% career
• Jianu last15 first serve points won 66% vs Nikles 63.1%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Nikles' tendency to push matches to deciding sets and his competitive recent form make a three-setter likely.

• Nikles last15 8 of 15 matches went to 3 sets
• Jianu last15 5 of 15 matches went to 3 sets
• Nikles last15 sets won 50%
• Jianu last15 sets won 37.9%