Spartans FCvsLivingston

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.30

The read

Livingston's higher level and stronger defensive record make them the more likely winner, even away from home.

• Livingston play a tier above Spartans (Championship vs League Two).
• Livingston have 8 clean sheets in 15 competitive matches and concede 0.73 goals per game.
• Livingston's away split is 4 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses with 0.57 goals conceded per game.
• The most recent Challenge Cup head-to-head was Livingston 2-0 Spartans.

BetBugs · Match WinnerLivingstonMarket price1.30Estimated chance44%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.06

The read

Livingston are more likely to be level or ahead at half-time given their solid first-half defensive numbers.

• Livingston average 0.93 first-half goals for and 0.4 against.
• Livingston concede 0.29 first-half goals per away match.
• Spartans average 0.8 first-half goals for and 0.7 against.
• Livingston's stronger tier and first-half defensive record favour them not trailing at the break.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfDraw or LivingstonMarket price1.06Estimated chance65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62

The read

Livingston's low concession rate and generally controlled matches point to fewer than four goals.

• Livingston's 15 matches average 2.6 total goals (1.87 for, 0.73 against).
• Livingston's away matches average 2.14 total goals.
• Livingston have kept 8 clean sheets in 15 competitive matches.
• Spartans' recent six matches include four both-score games, showing some openness.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.95

The read

Livingston's clean-sheet record and Spartans' blanking risk make one side not scoring the better side of both teams to score.

• Livingston have kept 8 clean sheets in 15 competitive matches.
• Spartans have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches by their scoring-match count.
• Livingston kept four clean sheets in their last six matches.
• The 2024 Challenge Cup meeting finished 2-0 to Livingston.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.18

The read

Livingston's away defence is strong enough to limit Spartans below two goals.

• Livingston away concede 0.57 goals per game and kept 4 clean sheets in 7 away matches.
• Spartans scored 0 in the 2024 Challenge Cup meeting with Livingston.
• Spartans were blanked at home by Stranraer and Kelty in the recent window.
• Spartans average 2.1 goals in home matches, but that is against League Two opposition.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalSpartans FC under 1.5Market price1.18Estimated chance64%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Livingston do not score heavily away, but this is a thin edge rather than a strong pattern.

• Livingston average 1.57 goals in away matches.
• Livingston were held to 0 at Dunfermline and scored 2 at Raith in recent away games.
• Livingston's overall scoring rate is 1.87 goals per game.
• Spartans overall concede 1.53 goals per game, so they are not a lockdown defence.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalLivingston under 1.5Estimated chance55%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.67

The read

Both sides' first-half records point to a low-scoring opening period rather than an early shootout.

• Spartans average 0.8 first-half goals for and 0.7 against.
• Livingston average 0.93 first-half goals for and 0.4 against.
• Livingston concede 0.29 first-half goals per away match.
• Both teams' first-half goal averages sit near one goal per team.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The second-half goal data is mixed but slightly leans toward a controlled rather than high-scoring half.

• Livingston concede 0.33 second-half goals per game, and 0.29 away.
• Livingston score 0.93 second-half goals per game.
• Spartans concede 0.87 second-half goals per game.
• Spartans score 1.07 second-half goals per game.