BenficavsAlverca

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.17

The read

Benfica are the stronger side with a much better league record and home form, so the home win is the main supported outcome.

• Benfica are 2nd with 22 points from 9 league games and have 13 wins in 15 competitive matches.
• Benfica's home league record is 3 wins and 1 draw from 4.
• Alverca are 9th with 11 points from 9 league games.
• Benfica won both recent head-to-heads 2-1.

BetBugs · Match WinnerBenficaMarket price1.17Estimated chance79%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33

The read

Benfica's high scoring and Alverca's open recent away games point to at least three goals.

• Benfica average 3.0 goals scored across 15 competitive matches.
• Alverca average 2.7 combined goals in their 10 tracked competitive matches.
• Both head-to-head games produced 3 goals.
• Benfica scored in all 15 tracked matches.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Benfica have scored in every tracked match and average three goals, making two home goals likely.

• Benfica scored in all 15 tracked matches.
• Benfica average 3.0 goals per match overall and 3.0 at home.
• Alverca conceded 13 goals in 9 league games.
• Benfica have 26 league goals from 9 games.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalBenfica over 1.5Market price1.20Estimated chance73%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.95

The read

Both teams have scored in most of their tracked matches and in both head-to-heads.

• Benfica saw both teams score in 10 of 15 tracked matches.
• Alverca saw both teams score in 6 of 10 tracked competitive matches.
• Both head-to-head games had both teams scoring.
• Alverca's away league record includes 8 goals in 4 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.17

The read

Benfica start strongly at home and Alverca also score some first-half goals away.

• Benfica average 1.2 first-half goals overall and 1.83 at home.
• Alverca average 0.6 first-half goals overall and 0.8 away.
• Benfica concede only 0.33 first-half goals per match.
• Alverca's away first-half goals-against average is 0.8.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.48

The read

Both teams' corner averages combine well above the line, with Benfica especially prolific at home.

• Benfica average 6.86 corners per match.
• Alverca average 4.78 corners per match, combining for about 11.6.
• Benfica average 10.6 corners at home.
• Alverca's away opponents average 5.2 corners.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The teams' yellow-card averages add up above four and Alverca are card-prone away.

• Benfica average 2.36 yellow cards.
• Alverca average 2.67 yellow cards.
• The combined yellow-card average is about 5.0.
• Alverca average 2.8 yellow cards away from home.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' shot-on-target averages combine above the line, with Benfica creating plenty at home.

• Benfica average 6.71 shots on target.
• Alverca average 6.22 shots on target, combining for about 12.9.
• Benfica average 7.6 shots on target at home.
• Alverca average 4.2 shots on target away.