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Mlada BoleslavHradec Kralove

Sun 1 Nov 2026, 12:001 Nov, 12:00

10Probabilities8Priced8Edges81%Strongest

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Quick Take

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Context last updated 31 Oct 2026, 04:01 · Europe/Bucharest

Mlada Boleslav have won all five home league games and conceded once; Hradec Kralove have scored twice in five away trips.

The home win is the likeliest single result. At 2.15 it stands up, as do Mlada Boleslav to win or draw at 1.38, both teams to score – No at 2.40, Mlada Boleslav to score twice or more at 1.91 and fewer than four goals at 1.48.

Context

No availability news, venue detail or confirmed line-up information; the reading rests on a five-match home sample and Hradec's five away league games, consistent but narrow.

Two goals on the road is the number that frames this fixture: the visitors have to break a defence that has conceded once in five home league games. Their home form is more productive, with three wins from seven and nine goals, which makes the road split look less like a one-off. One away goal would change the shape of the afternoon considerably.
- After 12 rounds: Hradec Kralove away record 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, 2 goals for, 4 against
- Hradec Kralove home record after 12 rounds: 3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 9 goals for, 11 against
The split is stark and it is why the home win is the leading read on the match. Seven away games have brought a single win and 13 goals conceded, so this is a side whose results follow the venue closely. Five home matches is enough to notice the pattern and not enough to treat it as permanent.
- After 12 rounds: Mlada Boleslav home record 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 11 goals for, 1 against
- Mlada Boleslav away record after 12 rounds: 1 win, 3 draws, 3 losses, 8 goals for, 13 against
It is the clearest recent evidence that Hradec can absorb pressure and take a point from a stronger host, which is the main threat to a home win here. They managed one shot on target themselves that afternoon, so the display was built on defending rather than counter-punching. That template makes a low-scoring draw the likeliest way the visitors spoil the afternoon.
- 17 Oct 2026, Czech Liga: Slavia Praha 0-0 Hradec Kralove
- Shots in that match: Hradec Kralove 7, Slavia Praha 24; shots on target 1-2
It is the freshest head-to-head evidence, and the visitors took a point from it, which is the obvious counter to a straightforward home win. The game was in Hradec, so it says little about how Mlada Boleslav perform at home, and one match is a thin guide in either direction. It does show this Hradec side can keep the scoring to a single goal each.
- 13 Dec 2025, Czech Liga: Hradec Kralove 1-1 Mlada Boleslav

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 6

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result3 outcomes · top 81%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.15
The read
Mlada Boleslav have swept their home league games while Hradec have scored just twice on the road, so the home win is the clear single result.
- Mlada Boleslav home league record 5-0-0, 11 goals scored and 1 conceded
- Hradec Kralove away league record 1-2-2 with 2 goals scored in 5 games
- H2H: Mlada Boleslav won the last three home meetings 3-2, 3-0 and 3-1
BetBugs · Match WinnerMlada BoleslavMarket price2.15Estimated chance58%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38
The read
Even if the home side are held, their unbeaten home record and Hradec's weak away scoring make the draw-or-home combination very solid.
- Mlada Boleslav 5 wins from 5 home league games, 11-1 goal difference
- Hradec Kralove 1 win in 5 away league games, 2 goals scored
- Mlada Boleslav unbeaten in the last two head-to-head meetings
BetBugs · Double ChanceMlada Boleslav or DrawMarket price1.38Estimated chance81%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.29
The read
The home side start strongly and rarely trail at the break, while Hradec's away first halves are almost goalless.
- Mlada Boleslav first-half goals for 1.33, against 0.0 in home matches
- Hradec Kralove first-half goals for 0.29 away, against 0.43
- Mlada Boleslav led at half-time in three of their last five league games
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfMlada Boleslav or DrawMarket price1.29Estimated chance74%

Goals4 outcomes · top 72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.40
The read
Hradec barely score on the road and Mlada Boleslav's home defence has been tight, so one side failing to score is the likelier shape.
- Mlada Boleslav conceded 1 goal in 5 home league games, 4 clean sheets in 6 home matches
- Hradec Kralove scored 2 goals in 5 away league games
- Hradec's away first-half scoring average is 0.29 goals
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreNoMarket price2.40Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91
The read
The home side average more than two goals a game at home against a modest away defence, so two or more is a fair target.
- Mlada Boleslav average 2.33 goals per home match
- Mlada Boleslav scored 2+ in their home wins over Brno (2-0) and in the 3-2 cup game
- Hradec Kralove concede 1.14 goals per away match
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalMlada Boleslav over 1.5Market price1.91Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.48
The read
A low-scoring away side meeting a mean home defence points to a contained match rather than a shootout.
- Hradec Kralove average 0.93 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 14 matches
- Mlada Boleslav concede only 0.5 goals per home match
- Hradec away matches average 2.0 goals per game combined
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5Market price1.48Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Both sides' first-half profiles point to at least one goal before the break, driven mainly by Mlada Boleslav's quick starts.
- Mlada Boleslav average 1.07 first-half goals, 1.33 at home
- Hradec Kralove first-half goals against average 0.5
- Mlada Boleslav scored before half-time in four of their last five league matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.25Estimated chance70%

Match stats3 outcomes · top 70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Both teams give up a lot of corners and neither dominates possession, so the combined count should clear nine.
- Mlada Boleslav matches average 5.3 own corners plus 6.5 conceded
- Hradec Kralove matches average 4.5 own corners plus 6.5 conceded
- Hradec conceded 8-9 corners in recent away games at Slavia and Jablonec
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderOver 9.5Market price1.57Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both defences allow plenty of shots, and the overall shot volumes in these games sit comfortably above the line.
- Mlada Boleslav matches average 11.6 shots for and 19.3 against
- Hradec Kralove matches average 12.3 shots for and 16.1 against
- Hradec's away matches average 28.5 total shots
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderOver 23.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches have trended just above four cards, with Hradec particularly prone to disciplinary trouble.
- Mlada Boleslav matches average 4.1 yellow cards combined
- Hradec Kralove matches average 3.9 yellow cards combined
- Hradec have collected red cards in three separate matches
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderOver 3.5Estimated chance56%