Oriente Petrolero11 – 1Aurora Cochabamba1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38

The read

Both teams' home and away scoring profiles point to a game in the two-to-three goal range rather than a shootout.

• Oriente's home matches average 1.75 scored and 0.88 conceded, about 2.6 goals per game.
• Aurora's away matches average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded, about 2.5 goals per game.
• Neither side's overall season averages exceed 1.7 goals scored per game.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.17

The read

Oriente have found the net in every home game tracked and face an away defence that leaks regularly.

• Oriente scored in all 8 of their home matches in the tracked window (8 goals, scored-in 8 of 8).
• Oriente have 23 goals in 11 league home games, better than two per match.
• Aurora concede 1.5 goals per away match and kept only two clean sheets in eight away games.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonOriente Petrolero over 0.5Estimated chance87%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38

The read

Aurora's modest away scoring meets Oriente's solid home defence, making two or more away goals unlikely.

• Aurora have scored 6 goals in 8 away matches, an average of 1.0 per game.
• Oriente concede only 0.88 goals per home match and kept three clean sheets in eight home games.
• Aurora failed to score in two of their last four away matches, including a 0-4 defeat.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonAurora Cochabamba under 1.5Estimated chance74%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Neither side's first-half scoring rate is high enough to make two or more early goals the likely outcome.

• Oriente average 0.93 first-half goals for and 0.33 against at all venues.
• Aurora average 0.63 first-half goals for and 1.0 against in away matches.
• Combined first-half expectation sits around 1.3-1.6 goals, just below the line.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Second-half output from both sides is modest, especially Aurora's away scoring after the break.

• Oriente average 0.88 second-half goals for and 0.63 against at home.
• Aurora average 0.38 second-half goals for and 0.5 against in away matches.
• Aurora's second-half scoring is the weakest part of their away profile.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' corner totals in the tracked home and away splits point below the 12.5 line.

• Oriente home matches average 6.0 corners for and 3.0 against across three tracked games.
• Aurora away matches average 7.0 corners for and 2.0 against across three tracked games.
• Combined corner samples sit around nine to ten per match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Yellow-card rates on both sides sit close to but below the 6.5 line.

• Oriente's matches average 3.6 yellow cards for them and 2.7 for opponents across seven games.
• Aurora's away matches average 2.0 yellow cards for them and 3.3 for opponents across three games.
• Combined disciplinary expectation is around six cards per match.