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Borussia M'gladbachPaderborn

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 14:3031 Oct, 14:30Live

9Probabilities8Priced8Edges74%Strongest

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Quick Take

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Context last updated 30 Oct 2026, 03:37 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom club Gladbach have lost all three home league games, while Paderborn arrive unbeaten in two league matches with two draws and a defeat on their travels; Paderborn are the likelier side to take something.

Paderborn to win or draw at 1.83, over 8.5 corners at 1.55, Gladbach over 4.5 corners at 1.62 and Paderborn to be held to one goal or fewer at 1.6 all hold up. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, each at 1.45, ask too much.

Context

A 29 October report describes captain Tim Kleindienst's return as being handled cautiously, with the extent of his involvement unclear, and both clubs played DFB Cup ties in midweek. No confirmed line-up news is available.

The 29 October availability update places Gladbach's captain T. Kleindienst under a managed return heading into this fixture. That can affect the hosts' forward selection or his usable minutes against Paderborn. The available update does not specify his exact restriction or identify the other absent regular starter, so the scope of any change remains unclear.
- An update on 29 October described T. Kleindienst's return as being handled cautiously.
- Gladbach will be without another regular starter against Paderborn.
ReportedSources checked 30 Oct 2026, 03:34 · Europe/Bucharest
Home form is the sharpest split in the table: Gladbach have taken nothing from three home league games, while Paderborn have drawn two and lost one away. Gladbach's only league win came at Stuttgart on 23 October. Three home matches is a small sample, but the contrast is the clearest fact in the fixture.
- Bundesliga 2026-27 standings: Gladbach 18th, 3 points from 7 matches, home record 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, 7 goals for, 10 against.
- Bundesliga 2026-27 standings: Paderborn 13th, 8 points from 7 matches, away record 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss.
The 2-0 cup win came four days before Paderborn's visit and followed Gladbach's first Bundesliga win of the campaign. It gives the home side a current positive sequence under Alexander Blessin, while preserving their place in the cup. Paderborn also had a midweek cup fixture, so this is more a current-team-context story than a rest advantage.
- Gladbach defeated Karlsruher SC 2-0 in the DFB Cup second round.
- R. Hack and L. Ullrich scored in the win.
ConfirmedSources checked 30 Oct 2026, 03:34 · Europe/Bucharest
The Stuttgart result was Gladbach's first league win and immediately preceded the home meeting with Paderborn. It provides a concrete recent reference for a side that had not previously won in the league this season. Paderborn also arrive after a league win, so the result alone does not separate the teams.
- Gladbach won 3-2 away to Stuttgart.
- J. Scally, S. Machino and W. Mohya scored for Gladbach.
ConfirmedSources checked 30 Oct 2026, 03:34 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result1 outcome · top 63%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Paderborn are better placed and harder to beat away, while Gladbach have lost every home league game.
- Gladbach are 18th with 3 points and a 0-0-3 home league record, scoring 7 and conceding 10.
- Paderborn are 13th with 8 points and a 0-2-1 away league record.
- Paderborn have lost only one of three league away games.
BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or PaderbornMarket price1.83Estimated chance63%

Goals5 outcomes · top 74%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Gladbach's games are open and their home defense leaks, so even low-scoring Paderborn can contribute to a higher total.
- Gladbach competitive matches average 4.44 total goals.
- Gladbach home league games have produced 17 goals in three.
- Paderborn away matches average 2.5 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5Market price1.45Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Gladbach usually score at home but concede, and Paderborn can find at least one goal.
- Gladbach both scored in 5 of 9 competitive matches and 3 of 4 home matches.
- Gladbach concede 2.44 per game overall and 2.5 at home.
- Paderborn score 1.33 per away game and have scored in 3 of their last 6.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreYesMarket price1.45Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Gladbach have scored multiple goals at home and Paderborn's away defense has conceded regularly.
- Gladbach score 2.0 per competitive match and 2.25 at home.
- Gladbach scored 7 goals in three home league games.
- Paderborn concede 1.17 per away game and 5 in three league away games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalBorussia M'gladbach over 1.5Market price1.67Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Both teams' first-half records point to at least one goal before the break, especially through Gladbach.
- Gladbach average 0.89 first-half goals for and 1.0 against.
- Paderborn away average 0.83 first-half goals for and 0.33 against.
- Paderborn overall average 0.64 first-half goals for.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.20Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Paderborn's away scoring is modest and they often settle for one goal or none.
- Paderborn average 1.33 away goals.
- Paderborn have scored 2 goals in 3 league away games.
- Paderborn failed to score in 3 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalPaderborn under 1.5Market price1.60Estimated chance65%

Match stats3 outcomes · top 68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Both teams' matches produce around ten corners, with Paderborn's away games especially generous to opponents.
- Gladbach matches average 10.67 total corners.
- Paderborn matches average 10.09 total corners.
- Gladbach home corners average 5.75, while Paderborn away concede 6.67.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderOver 8.5Market price1.55Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Gladbach's home corner volume and Paderborn's tendency to concede corners support the home side going over 4.5.
- Gladbach average 5.75 home corners in four matches.
- Paderborn away concede 6.67 corners in six matches.
- Gladbach overall average 5.56 corners.
BetBugs · Home CornersBorussia M'gladbach over 4.5Market price1.62Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gladbach's home games have been card-heavy, enough to make over 3.5 cards slightly more likely than not.
- Gladbach matches average 4.11 total cards.
- Gladbach home matches average 5.0 total cards.
- Paderborn matches average 3.0 total cards, and their away matches average 3.17.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderOver 3.5Estimated chance54%

Head-to-Head

2W · 0D · 3W

L3-1SC Paderborn 07vBorussia MonchengladbachJul 17, 2021FRI

L2-0Borussia MonchengladbachvSC Paderborn 07Aug 22, 2020FRI

W0-2SC Paderborn 07vBorussia MonchengladbachAug 22, 2020FRI

W1-3SC Paderborn 07vBorussia MonchengladbachJun 20, 2020BL

L2-0Borussia MonchengladbachvSC Paderborn 07Dec 18, 2019BL

Paderborn: 2 clean sheets2.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Bundesliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
18	Borussia M'gladbach Relegation	7	1	0	6	11-22	3	WLLLL
13	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	6-9	8	WDLWL

5pt gap between teamsBorussia M'gladbach in relegation zone

Recent Form

Borussia M'gladbach

W2-0Karlsruher SCOct 27DFB

W3-2VfB StuttgartOct 23BL

L1-21899 HoffenheimOct 18BL

L1-21. FC KölnOct 11BL

D1-1FC St. PauliOct 3FRI

W3-0Sportfreunde SiegenSep 24FRI

L3-4FSV Mainz 05Sep 19BL

L0-5SC FreiburgSep 12BL

L3-4SV ElversbergSep 5BL

L0-3RB LeipzigAug 29BL

W5-0Schott MainzAug 23DFB

W2-1Aston VillaAug 15FRI

W8-0SSVg VelbertAug 12FRI

W3-1Hansa RostockAug 1FRI

W2-1Rot-Weiß EssenJul 25FRI

Paderborn

L0-1VfB StuttgartOct 28DFB

W1-0Hamburger SVOct 24BL

D2-2Werder BremenOct 17BL

L0-2VfB StuttgartOct 10BL

W1-0DC UnitedSep 30FRI

W3-11899 HoffenheimSep 20BL

L0-3Borussia DortmundSep 12BL

L0-1SC FreiburgSep 5BL

D0-0FSV Mainz 05Aug 29BL

W4-2Phönix LübeckAug 23DFB

D2-2Werder BremenAug 8FRI

W2-0VfL OsnabrückAug 1FRI

W3-1Fagiano OkayamaJul 17FRI

D0-0VfL WolfsburgMay 21BL

W2-0SV Darmstadt 98May 172.

Squad & Injuries

Borussia M'gladbach

10 out

Attackers6/7

×#27

×#11

×#19

×#27

×#11

×#19

Midfielders2/12

×#8

Defenders2/10

×#5

Goalkeeper4

#27 F. Fleck — Muscle Injury

#8 E. Leopold — Knee Injury

#5 J. Leszczynski — Knee Injury

#11 T. Kleindienst — Muscle Injury

#19 N. Kuhn — Muscle Injury

#27 F. Fleck — Muscle Injury

#8 E. Leopold — Knee Injury

#5 J. Leszczynski — Knee Injury

#11 T. Kleindienst — Muscle Injury

#19 N. Kuhn — Muscle Injury

Paderborn

12 out

Attackers5

Midfielders6/13

×#7

×#26

×#40

×#7

×#26

×#40

Defenders2/7

×#33

Goalkeeper3

#7 O. Batista Meier — Ankle Injury

T. Gayret — Knee Injury

N. Awortwie-Grant — Knee Injury

#33 M. Hoffmeier — Muscle Injury

#26 S. Klaas — Muscle Injury

#40 G. Vidovic — Foot Injury

#7 O. Batista Meier — Ankle Injury

T. Gayret — Knee Injury

N. Awortwie-Grant — Knee Injury

#33 M. Hoffmeier — Muscle Injury

#26 S. Klaas — Muscle Injury

#40 G. Vidovic — Foot Injury

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Paderborn

Over 8.5

Borussia M'gladbach over 4.5

Paderborn under 1.5

Over 2.5

Yes

Borussia M'gladbach over 1.5

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Result1 outcome · top 63%

Goals5 outcomes · top 74%

Match stats3 outcomes · top 68%

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Borussia M'gladbach

Paderborn

Squad & Injuries

Borussia M'gladbach

Paderborn