Darmstadt vs Paderborn 07: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams show high draw tendencies, and recent H2H supports a stalemate, with Darmstadt's poor form balanced by Paderborn's inconsistency.
- Darmstadt have drawn 13 of 33 league matches this season, the most in the division.
- Paderborn have drawn 8 of 33, including 2 of their last 5.
- Last H2H ended 2-2 in December 2025.
- Darmstadt's last 5 form: D-L-D-L-L, with 3 draws in last 6.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Paderborn's H2H edge and Darmstadt's poor recent form make a home win unlikely, favoring the visitors to at least avoid defeat.
- Paderborn are unbeaten in last 3 H2Hs (W2 D1).
- Darmstadt have won only 1 of their last 5 matches.
- Paderborn sit 4th with 59 points, Darmstadt 5th with 52.
- Paderborn's away record: W7 D5 L4, solid on the road.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Paderborn 07Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Darmstadt rarely lead at the break, but Paderborn's first-half strength is offset by away context, making a draw the most balanced outcome.
- Darmstadt led at half-time in only 20% of matches this season.
- Paderborn led at half-time in 47% of matches.
- Darmstadt's last 5 first-half results: D-D-L-D-L.
- Paderborn's last 5 first-half results: W-L-D-W-W.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Paderborn's slightly better second-half performance and Darmstadt's tendency to fade could give the visitors an edge after the break.
- Paderborn have a +0.2 second-half goal difference per game.
- Darmstadt have a -0.1 second-half goal difference per game.
- Paderborn won the second half in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Darmstadt lost the second half in 2 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradablePaderborn 07Estimated chance35%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high-scoring profiles and recent meetings have been open, suggesting a strong likelihood of at least 3 goals.
- Darmstadt average 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season.
- Paderborn average 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
- Last 3 H2Hs produced 4, 1, and 4 total goals.
- Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both attacks are consistent and defenses leaky, making it likely each side finds the net.
- Darmstadt have scored in 13 of their last 15 matches.
- Paderborn have scored in 13 of their last 15 matches.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 H2Hs.
- Darmstadt have kept only 2 clean sheets in last 10, Paderborn 3 in last 10.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First-half stats are moderate but recent Darmstadt matches have been lively early, giving a slight lean toward over 1.5.
- Darmstadt average 0.9 first-half goals scored, 1.0 conceded.
- Paderborn average 0.9 first-half goals scored, 0.8 conceded.
- Last H2H had 2 first-half goals.
- Darmstadt's last 5 matches: 4 had 2+ first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring rates are near the threshold, and the open nature of the match could see goals after the break.
- Darmstadt concede 0.7 goals per second half on average.
- Paderborn score 1.0 goals per second half on average.
- Combined second-half goal average is 1.7.
- Last H2H had 2 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the combined average sits above the line, though variance is high.
- Darmstadt average 4.9 corners per game, concede 5.8.
- Paderborn average 4.5 corners per game, concede 4.3.
- Combined average corners per game: 10.7.
- Last H2H had 12 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Card averages are below the line, but recent spikes and the competitive nature of the match could push the total over.
- Darmstadt average 2.1 yellow cards per game, Paderborn 1.8.
- Combined average cards per game: 3.9, but recent matches trend higher.
- Darmstadt's last 5 matches: 1, 2, 2, 2, 0 yellows.
- Paderborn's last 5 matches: 0, 5, 0, 1, 2 yellows.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Darmstadt0Paderborn 072

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Paderborn 07

Over 2.5

Yes

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Darmstadt

Paderborn 07

Squad & Injuries

Darmstadt

Paderborn 07

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	Darmstadt	33	13	13	7	57-43	52	DLDLL
4	Paderborn 07	33	17	8	8	57-45	59	DLLDW