KuPS11 – 1IF Gnistan1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.13

The read

The league leaders are at home against an opponent they have not lost to in five meetings, winning three of them.

• KuPS lead the table with 43 points from 22 games (12W-7D-3L) and are 6W-4D-1L at home this season
• KuPS are unbeaten in the last five head-to-heads (3 wins, 2 draws), including 1-0 and 4-0 wins away at Gnistan
• The 8 September meeting in Oulunkylä finished 1-1 after KuPS led at half-time

BetBugs · Double ChancewonKuPS or DrawEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Meetings between these sides are consistently tight and neither attack is converting chances freely at the moment.

• Last five meetings produced 2, 1, 1, 2 and 4 goals
• KuPS average 1.07 scored and 1.33 conceded per game across the 15-match window
• Gnistan's last six matches produced 7, 4, 1, 0, 2 and 3 goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Both sides are slow starters who concede little before the break, so two first-half goals would be unusual.

• KuPS average 0.60 first-half goals for and 0.60 against
• Gnistan average 0.67 first-half goals for and 0.33 against (0.57 against away)
• Combined first-half totals in the last six games of each team run around one goal per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

First halves in these teams' recent games have been cagey, with both sides rarely finding the net before the interval.

• KuPS conceded 0.60 first-half goals per game across 15 matches
• Gnistan have conceded 0.33 first-half goals per game, 0.57 on their travels
• Only 2 of the last 12 combined matches had both teams scoring before half-time

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

KuPS have been grinding out single goals rather than scoring freely, and Gnistan's away defence has held up.

• KuPS average 1.07 goals per game in the window and 1.17 across six home matches
• KuPS scored exactly one goal in four of the last five head-to-heads
• Gnistan conceded 1.53 per game but kept a clean sheet in the 0-0 with Inter Turku

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonKuPS under 1.5Estimated chance62%