Bradford City2Peterborough United0

HT 1–0Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 Predictions graded

Predictions7–188%

Edges7–0100%

PossPossession 58%–42%ShotsShots 15–16On targetOn target 8–3CornersCorners 8–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Oct 2026, 15:10 · Europe/Bucharest

A quarter-final place is on the line at Valley Parade, where Bradford's clean-sheet habit meets a Peterborough side that has scored in 10 of 15 but kept one clean sheet all season.

Bradford look the more likely winners, though the 1.67 price asks too much of a side that has been blanked four times. The quotes that hold up are both teams to score – No at 2.00 and over 9.5 corners at 1.67.

Context

Peterborough Telegraph reporter Ben Jones wrote on 25 October that Feeney could be seen in midweek, immediately before the scheduled cup trip to Bradford. A potential return affects the away side's available defensive options for this fixture. The report did not confirm that he had returned to training or would start, so this remains a reported availability development rather than a selection confirmation.
- Ben Jones reported on 25 October that Feeney could be seen in midweek.
- The same report described the update as good news on Feeney and Garbett.
ReportedSources checked 26 Oct 2026, 15:07 · Europe/Bucharest
Peterborough Telegraph reporter Ben Jones wrote on 25 October that Garbett could be seen in midweek, immediately before the scheduled cup trip to Bradford. That could widen Peterborough's midfield options for this fixture. The report did not confirm that he had returned to training or would start, so the update is reported rather than confirmed availability.
- Ben Jones reported on 25 October that Garbett could be seen in midweek.
- The same report described the update as good news on Feeney and Garbett.
ReportedSources checked 26 Oct 2026, 15:07 · Europe/Bucharest
Bradford scored twice and kept a clean sheet in that August meeting, the kind of controlled home performance their season has been built on. Peterborough's task is to find a way through a side that has been difficult to break down in its own ground. One meeting does not settle a cup tie, and team selection on a midweek night can look quite different from a league fixture.
- The most recent meeting was a League One fixture at Valley Parade on 15 August 2026, which Bradford won 2-0.
That defensive record is the foundation of Bradford's home case: opponents have rarely scored more than once, and four of their 15 matches have seen them fail to score at the other end. Peterborough have found the net in most of their matches, so the tie tests whether that habit survives against a side that gives away little. A single set piece or error can still decide a cup night.
- Bradford's 15 competitive matches between 15 August and 24 October 2026 produced 10 clean sheets and 7 goals conceded, an average of 0.47 per game.
- In the same window they scored 11 goals, an average of 1.27 per match.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Bradford City

1.67fair 2.13

BetBugs 47% · Market 59.9%

−12.9ppshort

Bradford's strong home defence and recent head-to-head edge make them the more likely winner.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 3.5

1.38fair 1.52

BetBugs 66% · Market 72.5%

−6.5ppshort

Bradford's low-scoring, clean-sheet-heavy profile points to a game below four goals.

Home Goals TotalwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Bradford City over 0.5

1.13fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 88.5%

−8.5ppshort

Bradford score often enough at home and Peterborough rarely shut opponents out.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 1.5 goals in 1st half

1.45fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 69%

−4.0ppshort

Both teams' first-half profiles point to a relatively quiet opening period.

Home CornerswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Bradford City over 4.5

1.38fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 72.5%

−0.5ppshort

Bradford generate enough home corners to clear a modest line.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.67
The read
Bradford's strong home defence and recent head-to-head edge make them the more likely winner.
- Bradford are 9W-4D-2L in 15 competitive matches, including 4W-1D-1L at home.
- Bradford have kept 10 clean sheets in 15 and allow only 0.47 goals per game.
- Peterborough are 2W-2D-4L away and have no away clean sheet in the away split.
- Bradford won the last two meetings 2-0.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBradford CityEstimated chance47%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38
The read
Bradford's low-scoring, clean-sheet-heavy profile points to a game below four goals.
- Bradford's 15 matches average 1.73 total goals (1.27 for, 0.47 against).
- Bradford have kept 10 clean sheets in 15 and conceded only 7 goals.
- Peterborough's last six matches produced 21 goals, so their recent games have been more open.
- Recent head-to-heads finished 2-0, 2-0 and 1-1.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 3.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Bradford's defence makes it more likely that at least one side fails to score.
- Bradford have seen both teams score in only 4 of 15 matches.
- Bradford have kept 10 clean sheets in 15, including 4 in 6 home matches.
- Peterborough have kept only 1 clean sheet in 15 overall and none in the away split.
- Bradford won the last two meetings 2-0.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance59%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.13
The read
Bradford score often enough at home and Peterborough rarely shut opponents out.
- Bradford have scored in 11 of 15 competitive matches.
- Bradford have scored in 5 of 6 home matches.
- Peterborough have kept only 1 clean sheet in 15 and none in the away split.
- Bradford scored twice in each of the last two meetings.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonBradford City over 0.5Estimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Both teams' first-half profiles point to a relatively quiet opening period.
- Bradford average 0.40 first-half goals for and 0.20 against.
- Peterborough average 0.87 first-half goals for and 0.53 against.
- Bradford have conceded only 3 first-half goals in 15 matches.
- Peterborough's first-half scoring is moderate overall, though they had fast starts in two recent cup or trophy games.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Both sides' venue splits point to a combined corner count around ten.
- Bradford home matches average 10.33 total corners (7.67 for, 2.67 against).
- Peterborough away matches average 10.25 total corners (5.88 for, 4.38 against).
- Both teams' full-time corner samples cover their full tracked windows.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38
The read
Bradford generate enough home corners to clear a modest line.
- Bradford average 7.67 corners in 6 home matches.
- Peterborough allow 4.38 corners per away match.
- Bradford's home corner average is well above the 4.5 line.
BetBugs · Home CornerswonBradford City over 4.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The combined shot-on-target averages sit just below the line.
- Bradford home matches average 3.67 shots on target for and 1.67 against.
- Peterborough away matches average 4.38 shots on target for and 5.38 against.
- Combining Bradford's home shots on target with Peterborough's away shots on target gives about 8.0.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostUnder 8.5Estimated chance58%