League OneFull time

Predictions graded

Notts County0Bradford City1

HT 0–0Sat 12 Sept 2026, 11:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–833%

Edges3–443%

PossPossession 51%–49%ShotsShots 9–8On targetOn target 1–3CornersCorners 5–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Sep 2026, 22:57 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Notts County or Draw at 1.53 for a small edge, as the home side's unbeaten run and Bradford's away struggles make avoiding defeat likely.

The draw is also a reasonable single-outcome play, but avoid the first-half markets where the odds are already efficient or overpriced.

Context

Notts County are 12th in League One with 7 points from 5 games.
They have drawn four of five league matches, including 1-1 at Huddersfield on 5 September and 1-1 at Doncaster on 1 September. This pattern shows they are competitive but often fail to finish games off, which could matter against a Bradford side that has won three of five.
- Drew 1-1 at Huddersfield on 2026-09-05.
- Drew 1-1 at Doncaster on 2026-09-01.
- Overall record: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses in League One.
Notts County and Bradford City both most recently used a 3-4-2-1 in their league matches on 5 September.
If both managers repeat that shape, the wide channels and cover behind the wing-backs become central to the tactical matchup. The latest confirmed lineups provide a current reference, but neither manager's selection for Saturday is confirmed.
- Sky Sports lists Notts County in a 3-4-2-1 for the 1-1 draw at Huddersfield on 5 September.
- FotMob records Bradford City in a 3-4-2-1 for the 1-0 win over Mansfield on 5 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 8 Sep 2026, 22:56 · Europe/BucharestHuddersfield Town vs Notts County teamswww.skysports.com · 5 Sep 2026Bradford City vs Mansfield Town lineupswww.fotmob.com · 5 Sep 2026
Bradford City are 4th in League One with 9 points from 5 games.
Their away record is 1 win and 1 loss, with the loss coming 2-0 at Plymouth on 29 August. They have scored only 1 goal in 2 away games, so their attack has been less effective on the road, which could give Notts County a chance.
- Away record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, 1 goal scored, 2 conceded.
- Lost 2-0 at Plymouth on 2026-08-29.
- Won 1-0 at Sheffield Wednesday on 2026-08-20.
Bradford City travelled to Leyton Orient for a Carabao Cup third-round tie on Tuesday, four days before this match.
The additional away fixture can affect recovery and rotation, adding selection uncertainty until post-match availability news is confirmed. The tie's final minutes and fitness outcomes remain relevant to Saturday's lineup.
- The EFL scheduled Leyton Orient v Bradford City for Tuesday 8 September in the Carabao Cup third round.
- Bradford City issued an official away-day update for supporters travelling to Leyton Orient on 8 September.
To watchSources checked 8 Sep 2026, 22:56 · Europe/BucharestCarabao Cup third-round dates confirmedefl.com · 28 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Notts County's strong draw tendency and Bradford's inconsistent away form make a stalemate the most likely single outcome.
- Notts County have drawn 4 of their last 5 league matches (DDWDD).
- Bradford City have lost 2 of their last 3 away league matches.
- H2H: 2 of last 4 meetings ended in draws.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Home unbeaten run and Bradford's away fragility support a high probability for Notts County to avoid defeat.
- Notts County are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches (1W4D).
- Notts County have not lost at home this season (1W1D).
- Bradford City have lost 2 of their last 3 away league matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostNotts County or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be level at the break, reflecting cautious starts.
- Notts County have drawn at half-time in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Bradford City have drawn at half-time in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- Both teams have low first-half scoring rates.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both half-time and full-time is plausible given Notts County's draw-heavy pattern.
- Notts County have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Notts County have drawn at half-time in 3 of those matches.
- Bradford City have drawn 1 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance20%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring and solid defenses, suggesting a low-scoring contest.
- Notts County average 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
- Bradford City average 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
- Combined average goals per match: 2.2 (Notts) and 2.6 (Bradford).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides show consistent scoring ability and defensive vulnerabilities, making BTTS likely.
- Notts County have scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Bradford City have scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Both teams have conceded in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, with low first-half scoring averages.
- Notts County average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
- Bradford City average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded.
- Combined first-half goal average: 1.2.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to be more open as both teams push for a result.
- Notts County average 0.8 second-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Bradford City average 1.0 second-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
- Combined second-half goal average: 1.8.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Bradford's high corner count and Notts County's moderate numbers suggest a high total corner count.
- Notts County average 4.3 corners per match.
- Bradford City average 7.4 corners per match.
- Combined average corners: 11.7.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Notts County's corner output is modest, and Bradford's away defense limits opponent corners.
- Notts County average 4.3 corners per match overall.
- In home matches, Notts County average 4.0 corners per match.
- Bradford City concede an average of 5.0 corners per away match.
BetBugs · Home CornerslostNotts County under 4.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Bradford's strong corner generation and Notts County's tendency to concede corners support an away corner over.
- Bradford City average 7.4 corners per match overall.
- In away matches, Bradford City average 7.5 corners per match.
- Notts County concede an average of 5.3 corners per home match.
BetBugs · Away CornerslostBradford City over 4.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined average is just above the line, and the competitive nature of the match may increase card count.
- Notts County average 2.4 yellow cards per match.
- Bradford City average 1.2 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average yellow cards: 3.6.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 49% exceeds our 45% estimate; no value cushion and the market already prices the cautious start.

Head-to-Head

3W · 2D · 0W

D1-1BradfordvNotts CountyApr 17, 2025LEA

W3-0Notts CountyvBradfordDec 21, 2024LEA

W0-3BradfordvNotts CountyMar 19, 2024LEA

W4-2Notts CountyvBradfordNov 18, 2023LEA

D1-1Notts CountyvBradfordMar 14, 2015LEA

Notts County unbeaten in 5 meetingsNotts County: 2 clean sheets3.2 goals/game avg

League Table

League One 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	Notts County	5	1	4	0	7-6	7	DDWDD
4	Bradford City Promotion - League One (Play Offs)	5	3	0	2	5-4	9	WLLWW

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Notts County

D1-1HuddersfieldSep 5LEA

D1-1DoncasterSep 1LEA

W2-1Burton AlbionAug 29LEA

D2-2LutonAug 22LEA

D1-1LeicesterAug 15LEA

D0-0WalsallAug 1FRI

L0-2Nottingham ForestJul 18FRI

L1-3Randers FCJul 14FRI

L0-2ViborgJul 11FRI

W5-0Alfreton TownJul 4FRI

W3-0Salford CityMay 25LEA

D0-0ChesterfieldMay 15LEA

W1-0ChesterfieldMay 10LEA

D1-1Bristol RoversMay 2LEA

W1-0ColchesterApr 25LEA

Bradford City

W1-0Mansfield TownSep 5LEA

L1-2Cambridge UnitedSep 1LEA

L0-2PlymouthAug 29LEA

W1-0Sheffield WednesdayAug 20LEA

W2-0PeterboroughAug 15LEA

W2-0RochdaleAug 8LEA

D2-2Salford CityAug 1FRI

W3-2PrestonJul 29FRI

W4-0GmundenJul 24FRI

L0-1Accrington STJul 17FRI

W6-1FC Halifax TownJul 11FRI

W2-1United of ManchesterJul 4FRI

L0-1BoltonMay 14LEA

L0-1BoltonMay 9LEA

W2-1Exeter CityMay 2LEA

Squad & Injuries

Notts County

30 available

Attackers4

Midfielders14

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Bradford City

26 available

Attackers6

Midfielders10

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Notts County or Draw

Draw

Under 2.5

Draw

Yes

Under 1.5

Bradford City over 4.5

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 4 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Notts County

Bradford City

Squad & Injuries

Notts County

Bradford City