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Predictions graded

Zawisza Bydgoszcz4Swit Skolwin2

HT 3–1Fri 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–367%

Edges1–325%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 22 Oct 2026, 21:07 · Europe/Bucharest

Zawisza Bydgoszcz need a first win since 29 August but meet a Świt Skolwin side that won on its last two visits to Bydgoszcz.

The stronger home record makes Zawisza the likelier winner, though a tight, low-scoring game is just as plausible. The Zawisza win at 1.65 asks more than the form supports; the prices with something to offer are under 2.5 goals at 2.5, the first-half draw at 2.4 and the full-time draw at 4.0.

Context

Zawisza have scored three or more in four league matches this season and still sit outside the promotion picture because of the other end, where the Sandecja goals came from a long-range strike, two headers and a stoppage-time cross. Stawski has already rotated the problem flank, using Dziarkowski at right-back against Znicz Pruszków and Nowak before that. The fixture matters because Świt have been shut out five times in twelve league games, so a settled defensive display is the cheapest route to a first home win since 29 August. The caveat is that Zawisza's better performances come when they dominate the ball, and a compact visitor can punish the same impatience that produced the Nowy Sącz errors.
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz lost 4-3 at Sandecja Nowy Sącz on 18 October after leading 1-0, 2-1 and 3-2.
- The four goals conceded came from a Kolar strike from outside the area, two Piszczek headers and a stoppage-time Plesnierowicz finish.
- Adrian Stawski's post-match line was that goals cannot be lost in that manner.
- Zawisza lost their previous two home league matches, 1-2 to Olimpia Grudziądz on 4 October and 0-1 to Znicz Pruszków on 11 October.
ConfirmedSources checked 22 Oct 2026, 21:03 · Europe/Bucharest
Cecherz inherited a squad already three league games into the season and has had nine more to work with, and the record has barely shifted. The relevant question for Friday is organisation: Świt have conceded five goals in a game twice and three in a game three further times, which is the profile of a side whose shape breaks rather than one that is simply outclassed. Zawisza's own defending offers the equaliser, having shipped four in Nowy Sącz. Cecherz's side did take a point off Olimpia Grudziądz last week, so the likelier floor is a low-scoring stalemate rather than a collapse.
- Świt Szczecin sit second from bottom with 9 points from 12 matches, on two wins, three draws and seven defeats.
- Marcin Sasal left the club after three rounds of the season and Przemysław Cecherz took charge.
- Świt drew 1-1 at home with Olimpia Grudziądz on 17 October, their third draw of the campaign.
ReportedSources checked 22 Oct 2026, 21:03 · Europe/Bucharest
The injury was sustained in training during the two-week international break that preceded Zawisza's 1-2 home defeat by Olimpia, and the position has been improvised since. His absence also complicates the club's obligation to field a young player, with Jan Juśkiewicz the fixed option in that role. For this fixture it means a makeshift right side against a Świt attack built around Adam Frączczak, who has three of their league goals. The spring-round prognosis is an estimate rather than a dated medical bulletin, so the return timeline should be treated as indicative.
- Krystian Brzozowski fractured the fibula in his right leg during the October break, with a return not expected before the spring round.
- Krystian Nowak replaced him at right-back in the 1-2 home defeat by Olimpia Grudziądz on 4 October.
- Dziarkowski played right-back in the 0-1 home defeat by Znicz Pruszków on 11 October.
- Krystian Brzozowski started 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 22 Oct 2026, 21:03 · Europe/Bucharest
Kozłowski's point is the one Zawisza's season keeps illustrating: four league matches with three or more goals and a run of three straight defeats. He has held the central striker's role while the wide positions have rotated between Stępień, Szumilas, Rak and Mas, which is why the attacking reshuffle at Sandecja worked without replacing him. Against a Świt defence that has conceded five in a game twice this season, his value is finishing rather than sentiment. Pre-match interviews carry no selection information, so this reads as background on the mood around a squad that has lost three in a row.
- Filip Kozłowski scored Zawisza's third goal in the 4-3 defeat at Sandecja Nowy Sącz on 18 October, nine minutes after coming on in the 74th minute.
- Before the Świt Szczecin fixture he pointed to the squad's quality and character and to the need to convert that into results.
- F. Kozłowski started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 22 Oct 2026, 21:03 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zawisza have the stronger home record and face an away side that has conceded heavily and won once on the road.
- Zawisza's home record is 3W-2D-2L with 9 goals for and 6 against in 7 matches.
- Świt's away record is 1W-1D-4L with 5 goals for and 14 against in 6 matches.
- Świt are 17th with 9 points from 12; Zawisza are 11th with 16.
- Świt have no clean sheet in 12 league matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonZawisza BydgoszczEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.40
The read
First halves have been low-scoring for Zawisza at home and Świt have managed only two first-half away goals.
- Zawisza's home first halves average 0.71 total goals.
- Świt's away first halves average 1.33 total goals.
- Zawisza were level at half-time in four of their last six matches.
- Świt scored only two first-half goals in six away matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zawisza's second-half scoring at home is stronger than Świt's away output after the break.
- Zawisza score 0.86 second-half goals at home and concede 0.57.
- Świt concede 1.33 second-half goals per away match.
- Świt score only 0.5 second-half goals per away match.
- Zawisza scored twice after half-time in the 4-3 defeat at Sandecja.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostZawisza BydgoszczEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zawisza have the stronger home record and face an away side that has conceded heavily and won once on the road. Both teams have drawn regularly and neither has a convincing recent winning run.
- Zawisza's home record is 3W-2D-2L with 9 goals for and 6 against in 7 matches.
- Świt's away record is 1W-1D-4L with 5 goals for and 14 against in 6 matches.
- Zawisza have drawn 4 of 12 league matches; Świt have drawn 3 of 12.
- Świt drew 1-1 at home with Olimpia in their latest match.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonZawisza Bydgoszcz or DrawEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zawisza have the slightly stronger first-half numbers and Świt have often conceded before the break on the road. First halves have been low-scoring for Zawisza at home and Świt have managed only two first-half away goals.
- Zawisza average 0.43 first-half goals at home and concede 0.29.
- Świt average 0.33 first-half goals away and concede 1.0.
- Zawisza's home first halves average 0.71 total goals.
- Świt's away first halves average 1.33 total goals.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonZawisza Bydgoszcz or DrawEstimated chance83%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' season totals and Świt's away games point to enough chances for three goals.
- Zawisza's 12 league matches average 3.17 total goals.
- Świt's 12 league matches average 3.17 total goals.
- Świt's six away matches average 3.17 total goals.
- Four of Świt's last six matches had at least three goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Zawisza have scored in most home games and Świt have conceded in every away match, but Świt's away scoring is the main doubt.
- Zawisza scored in 5 of 7 home matches and conceded in 5 of 7.
- Świt conceded in all 6 away matches.
- Świt scored in 2 of 6 away matches.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Zawisza's 7 home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Recent first halves involving both teams have usually produced a goal, and Świt's away matches average more than one before the break.
- Zawisza's home matches average 0.71 first-half goals.
- Świt's away matches average 1.33 first-half goals.
- At least one first-half goal was scored in four of Zawisza's last six matches.
- Świt's last six matches all had at least one first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Świt's away scoring is concentrated in one match, making two or more goals unlikely.
- Świt scored 5 goals in 6 away matches, with 4 coming in one game.
- Świt scored in only 2 of 6 away matches.
- Świt failed to score in four of six away matches.
- Zawisza kept two clean sheets in seven home matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostSwit Skolwin under 1.5Estimated chance82%

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 4W

L2-1Świt SkolwinvZawisza BydgoszczMay 26, 2024III

L0-1Zawisza BydgoszczvŚwit SkolwinNov 5, 2023III

D3-3Świt SkolwinvZawisza BydgoszczJun 4, 2023III

L0-1Zawisza BydgoszczvŚwit SkolwinNov 5, 2022III

L6-1Świt SkolwinvZawisza BydgoszczMay 29, 2022III

Swit Skolwin unbeaten in 5 meetingsSwit Skolwin: 2 clean sheets3.6 goals/game avg

League Table

II Liga - East 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
11	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	12	4	4	4	20-18	16	LLLDD
17	Swit Skolwin	12	2	3	7	12-26	9	DLWLL

7pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

L3-4Sandecja Nowy SączOct 18II

L0-1Znicz PruszkówOct 11II

L1-2Olimpia GrudziądzOct 4II

D0-0Górnik ŁęcznaSep 18II

D1-1Hutnik KrakówSep 12II

D3-3Stal Stalowa WolaSep 4II

W4-1Legia Warszawa IIAug 29II

W4-1Avia ŚwidnikAug 22II

W2-1Lechia Zielona GóraAug 16II

W1-0Resovia RzeszówAug 8II

L0-3Rekord Bielsko-BiałaAug 2II

D1-1Sokół KleczewJul 25II

L2-3Polonia WarszawaJul 18FRI

W2-1ŁKS Łódź IIJul 11FRI

W1-0Polonia ŚrodaJul 8FRI

Swit Skolwin

D1-1Olimpia GrudziądzOct 17II

L0-1Avia ŚwidnikOct 10II

W2-1Sokół KleczewOct 3II

L0-2Pogoń Szczecin IISep 23FRI

L0-3Rekord Bielsko-BiałaSep 18II

L1-5Chojniczanka ChojniceSep 12II

W4-1Lechia Zielona GóraSep 5II

D1-1Tychy 71Aug 30II

D1-1Znicz PruszkówAug 22II

L0-1Sandecja Nowy SączAug 15II

L0-5Legia Warszawa IIAug 9II

L0-3Hutnik KrakówAug 1II

L2-3Górnik ŁęcznaJul 25II

L0-1Stargard SzczecińskiJul 17FRI

W3-2Flota ŚwinoujścieJul 11FRI

Squad & Injuries

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

25 available

Attackers8

Midfielders9

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2

Swit Skolwin

25 available

Attackers3

Midfielders16

Defenders4

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

Draw

Draw

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Result3 of 5 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Swit Skolwin

Squad & Injuries

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Swit Skolwin