FK Zemun1Macva Sabac0

HT 0–0Fri 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–950%

Edges4–180%

PossPossession 44%–56%ShotsShots 10–7On targetOn target 3–1CornersCorners 1–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 22 Oct 2026, 21:07 · Europe/Bucharest

Zemun are winless in twelve league games and Macva in six away, so a tight, low-scoring draw is the likeliest single result.

Both teams to score — No at 1.83, no goal for both before half-time at 1.15, a level first half at 2.00 and the draw at 3.00 all offer something; under 2.5 goals at 1.62 does not.

Context

A home game moved off a club's own ground changes pitch dimensions, surface, and the size and familiarity of the crowd, and Ub sits well outside Zemun's usual support base, so any home edge may be thinner than a standard home fixture implies. The two listings disagree on the ground, so the relocation is an open condition rather than an established one. If the game is in Ub, Mačva's journey differs from a normal trip to Belgrade, which is the practical knock-on for the visitors. Ground and kick-off need settling before home conditions can be read into this fixture.
- The round-13 Zemun home fixture against Mačva Šabac is listed at Stadion Dragan Džajić in Ub.
- A separate listing places the same game at Stadion Zemun with a 17:00 kick-off on 23 October.
To watchSources checked 22 Oct 2026, 21:04 · Europe/BucharestSuper Liga round 13 fixture pagewww.flashscore.co.uk · 22 Oct 2026Mozzart Bet Superliga match pagewww.tntsports.co.uk · 22 Oct 2026
Twelve games have produced three draws, nine defeats and only four matches in which Zemun found the net. Macva's own away record is poor enough to keep this from looking one-sided, but Zemun have shown no sign of scoring enough to win a game, which leaves the draw as their most plausible route to a point.
- Zemun's 12 Super Liga matches, 18 July to 17 October 2026: 0 wins, 3 draws, 9 defeats.
- 6 goals scored and 25 conceded across those 12 matches.
- No clean sheet in 12 league games, and none in 6 at home.
- Zemun scored in only 4 of the 12 matches.
Both league wins and every shutout have come at home, so this trip tests the weaker half of Macva's record. Zemun have managed three goals in six home games, which is limited enough for Macva to keep the contest tight even away from their better ground.
- Macva's six away Super Liga matches, 17 July to 10 October 2026: 0 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats.
- 4 goals scored and 14 conceded in those six away games (0.67 and 2.33 per game).
- Three clean sheets in 12 league games overall, none of them away from home.
Stojanović takes charge of a round-13 game between two sides in the lower half of the table, where one penalty or red-card decision can decide the result. Zemun's twelve league games have produced three draws and nine defeats, and Mačva sit just above them, so neither team has room for a marginal call going against it. No published card or penalty profile accompanies the appointment, so nothing about his likely leniency can be inferred. The appointment fixes who controls the game, not how strictly it will be controlled.
- Aleksandar Stojanović is the named referee for the Super Liga round-13 match between Zemun and Mačva Šabac.
ReportedSources checked 22 Oct 2026, 21:04 · Europe/BucharestSuper Liga round 13 fixture pagewww.flashscore.co.uk · 22 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.00
The read
Both teams have winless home or away splits and low scoring, so a draw is the strongest single result.
- Zemun have drawn 3 of 12 league games; Macva have drawn 4 of 12.
- Zemun have drawn 2 of 6 home games; Macva have drawn 2 of 6 away games.
- Both teams average under one goal scored per league game.
- Three of the last five head-to-head meetings were draws.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance39%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Both teams score very few first-half goals, making a level first half the central outcome.
- Zemun average 0.17 first-half goals scored at home.
- Macva average 0.17 first-half goals scored away.
- Zemun home first-half goals against average 0.5; Macva away first-half goals against average 1.0.
- Both teams have low first-half scoring averages.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Neither side scores much after the break, so a drawn second half is the most supported result.
- Zemun home second-half goals for 0.33, against 1.17.
- Macva away second-half goals for 0.50, against 1.33.
- Both teams average under one second-half goal scored.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have winless home or away splits and low scoring, so a draw is the strongest single result. Macva are the higher-ranked side and face a Zemun team that has conceded in every league game, though their own away form is winless.
- Zemun have drawn 3 of 12 league games; Macva have drawn 4 of 12.
- Zemun have drawn 2 of 6 home games; Macva have drawn 2 of 6 away games.
- Macva are 12th with 10 points; Zemun are 14th with 3.
- Macva have scored 4 goals in 6 away league games.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Macva SabacEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score very few first-half goals, making a level first half the central outcome. Macva score little before half-time, but Zemun's defensive record leaves an away lead possible.
- Zemun average 0.17 first-half goals scored at home.
- Macva average 0.17 first-half goals scored away.
- Macva average 0.17 first-half goals away.
- Zemun concede 0.5 first-half goals at home.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Macva SabacEstimated chance83%

Goals7 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both attacks are weak and recent head-to-heads have been low-scoring, pointing to fewer than three goals.
- Zemun have scored 6 goals in 12 league games; Macva have scored 9.
- Zemun average 0.5 goals scored and Macva average 0.75.
- Four competitive head-to-heads since 2025 all had two goals or fewer.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Zemun's scoring rate is very low, making both teams scoring unlikely.
- Zemun have scored in only 4 of 12 league games.
- Zemun have failed to score in 8 of 12 league games.
- Macva have kept three clean sheets in 12 league games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zemun's home scoring is very low, making two or more home goals unlikely.
- Zemun have scored 3 goals in 6 home league games.
- Zemun average 0.5 goals per home game.
- Zemun have failed to score in 4 of 6 home league games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonFK Zemun under 1.5Estimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Macva's away scoring is modest, making two or more away goals less likely.
- Macva have scored 4 goals in 6 away league games.
- Macva average 0.67 goals per away game.
- Macva have failed to score in 3 of 6 away league games.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonMacva Sabac under 1.5Estimated chance73%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zemun have not kept a clean sheet all season, so the home clean sheet is unlikely.
- Zemun have no clean sheet in 12 league games.
- Zemun have no clean sheet in 6 home league games.
- Macva have scored in 3 of 6 away league games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostMacva Sabac to scoreEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Macva's away defence has not produced a clean sheet, so no is modestly favoured.
- Macva have no clean sheet in 6 away league games.
- Zemun have scored in 2 of 6 home league games.
- Macva concede 2.33 goals per away game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFK Zemun to scoreEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The season rates are low, but recent Zemun home first halves have usually had a goal.
- Zemun home first halves average 0.67 total goals.
- Macva away first halves average 1.17 total goals.
- Recent Zemun home first halves produced goals in five of six.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance54%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15
The read
Both teams score very rarely before half-time, so both scoring in the first half is highly unlikely.
- Zemun have scored two first-half goals in 12 league games.
- Macva have scored four first-half goals in 12 league games.
- Zemun average 0.17 first-half goals at home; Macva average 0.17 away.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance92%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Low second-half scoring by both teams makes under 1.5 the slimmer choice.
- Zemun home second-half goals for 0.33.
- Macva away second-half goals for 0.50.
- Both teams' second-half scoring averages are below one.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede many corners and recent games have consistently cleared the line.
- Zemun average 3.0 corners and concede 5.33 per league game.
- Macva average 2.92 corners and concede 5.08 per league game.
- Five of Zemun's last six and five of Macva's last six had over 5.5 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 5.5Estimated chance76%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams allow a high volume of shots and recent matches have all cleared the line.
- Zemun average 8.67 shots and concede 21.08 per league game.
- Macva average 9.0 shots and concede 19.0 per league game.
- All six recent Zemun and all six recent Macva matches had over 17.5 total shots.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 17.5Estimated chance90%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede plenty of shots on target and every recent match cleared the line.
- Zemun average 2.5 shots on target and concede 7.42.
- Macva average 2.33 shots on target and concede 5.58.
- All six recent Zemun and all six recent Macva matches had over 4.5 total shots on target.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance94%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The average card count sits just under the line, making under 5.5 slightly more supported.
- Zemun home yellow cards average 3.00; opponent 2.67.
- Macva away yellow cards average 2.17; opponent 2.50.
- Combined card averages are near five.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostUnder 5.5Estimated chance53%