Bayern Munich22 – 2Arsenal2

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams score little before the break, so the first half is often level.

• Bayern first-half goals: 0.9 scored and 0.4 conceded per game.
• Arsenal first-half goals: 0.69 scored and 0.38 conceded per game.
• Two of Bayern's last six first halves ended 0-0.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Bayern's home first-half scoring and Arsenal's slow starts make an early home lead plausible. Both teams score little before the break, so the first half is often level.

• Bayern first-half home goals: 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded per match.
• Arsenal first-half goals: 0.69 scored and 0.38 conceded per game.
• Bayern first-half goals: 0.9 scored and 0.4 conceded per game.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonBayern Munich or DrawEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Bayern's home matches and Arsenal's scoring output point to a game with several goals.

• Bayern average 3.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
• Bayern average 5.0 goals scored per home match.
• Arsenal average 2.0 scored and 0.85 conceded per game.
• Bayern's last three matches produced 6, 4 and 7 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bayern concede regularly enough and Arsenal carry enough attacking threat for both sides to score.

• Both teams scored in 6 of Bayern's 10 competitive matches.
• Arsenal scored in five of their last six matches.
• Arsenal have scored 2.0 goals per game across the sample.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Arsenal's regular scoring makes it more likely than not that Bayern concede at least once.

• Arsenal scored in five of their last six matches.
• Arsenal average 2.0 goals per game over 13 competitive matches.
• Bayern conceded three goals in their most recent match.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonArsenal to scoreEstimated chance58%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Bayern's scoring consistency makes it unlikely Arsenal leave Munich without conceding.

• Bayern scored in 9 of 10 competitive matches.
• Bayern average 3.3 goals scored per game and 5.0 at home.
• Arsenal's away matches produced at least one goal for the opponent in recent games.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonBayern Munich to scoreEstimated chance74%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

Even with quiet recent first halves, the combined scoring rate makes at least one pre-break goal likely.

• Bayern first-half scoring 0.9 per game; Arsenal 0.69.
• Arsenal first-half games average just over one goal in total.
• Combined recent first halves averaged about 1.8 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams do most of their scoring after the break, so two or more second-half goals is likely.

• Bayern score 2.4 second-half goals per game; Arsenal 1.33.
• Combined recent second halves averaged about 2.7 goals.
• Bayern have scored four second-half goals at home this window.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Arsenal's low corner output and their recent match totals make a moderate corner count more likely.

• Arsenal average 4.3 corners and concede 2.75 per game.
• Bayern home matches averaged about 8.75 corners in total.
• Arsenal's Champions League games produced 7 and 6 corners for them.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams limit opponent shot counts, which points to a combined total below the line.

• Arsenal's opponents average 8.8 shots per game.
• Bayern's opponents average 6.4 shots per game.
• Arsenal took 11 to 16 shots in most recent matches.