Draw or Bury
Market 40% · BetBugs 46%
The first game was level and Bury have enough defensive solidity to keep the replay close. Bury's overall form and defensive record keep them competitive in the replay.
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Predictions gradedPre-match view
A National League side at home to a tier-seven club with an FA Cup first-round place on the line, and the first meeting ended 1-1.
Harrogate should have enough at home, but Bury's defending keeps the replay close. Bury to avoid defeat at 2.5 and at least one first-half goal at 1.25 are the two prices that hold up; 1.45 on a Harrogate win does not.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 40% · BetBugs 46%
The first game was level and Bury have enough defensive solidity to keep the replay close. Bury's overall form and defensive record keep them competitive in the replay.
Market 80% · BetBugs 82%
Both teams have been involved in first-half goals at a steady rate.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 57% · Market 63.7%
Both sides have generally been involved in higher-scoring games, even though the first meeting was tighter.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

