Silkeborg IF3AC Horsens3

HT 0–2Sun 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–753%

Edges5–271%

PossPossession 62%–38%ShotsShots 14–17On targetOn target 7–7CornersCorners 6–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Oct 2026, 01:41 · Europe/Bucharest

Horsens' scoring on the road against a Silkeborg side with one home league win in four is the tension here.

Horsens to win or avoid defeat looks the likelier outcome, though Silkeborg's habit of leading at half-time keeps it open. Seven reviewed prices carry potential value, led by Horsens to win or draw at 1.67, Horsens to win at 3.1 and over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.33.

Context

The 1.1 goals conceded per game after the break is the largest figure in Silkeborg's profile, turning a +0.4 first-half goal difference into -0.7. Horsens' half-split runs the other way, with 1.27 second-half goals scored per game across their eleven-match sample, so the closing stages matter in this fixture. Ten matches is a modest sample, enough to show a pattern rather than a fixed outcome.
- Silkeborg overall, ten competitive matches from 27 July to 18 September 2026: first-half goals for 0.8 and first-half goals against 0.4 per match.
- Same ten-match sample: second-half goals for 0.4 and second-half goals against 1.1 per match.
The all-or-nothing away record sits against Silkeborg's draw habit — four draws in nine league matches, two of them in four home games — so the fixture pulls in two directions. Those four Horsens away games produced 15 goals, an average of 3.75, well above the 2.25 per game in Silkeborg's four home league matches. Four matches is a small sample and an early-season pattern can shift quickly.
- Superliga away record, standings fetched 6 October 2026: played 4, won 2, lost 2, drawn 0, eight goals scored, seven conceded.
- Those four away matches produced 15 goals in total, an average of 3.75 per game.
The 11 October Silkeborg–Horsens game doubles as a Veteran Match honouring Denmark's deployed personnel and their relatives, dated 6 October 2026. It is the fixture's clearest non-sporting thread, framing the prematch ceremony and the tone of the afternoon rather than anything played out between the boxes. The description covers the occasion and the invited guests and stops short of squad or selection detail, so the useful takeaway is what the day itself means at the ground.
- Silkeborg has dedicated the 11 October home fixture against AC Horsens to Denmark's former deployed personnel and their relatives.
- The dedication is dated 6 October 2026.
ConfirmedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 01:38 · Europe/BucharestVeteran Match mod AC Horsenswww.silkeborgif.com · 6 Oct 2026
Kehlet is the referee named for the 11 October fixture at JYSK Park, and he carries that same assignment in the round's appointments alongside FC Nordsjælland–OB, Randers–Viborg and AGF–Sønderjyske. Officials become consequential in matches decided by a penalty or a sending-off, and this detail is settled days before kick-off rather than left open. Two separate published listings carry the same name for this fixture, which is what makes it safe to treat the appointment as final.
- Jakob Kehlet is named as referee for the 11 October Silkeborg IF–AC Horsens fixture at JYSK Park.
- The same round list assigns officials to FC Nordsjælland–OB, Randers–Viborg and AGF–Sønderjyske.
ConfirmedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 01:38 · Europe/BucharestSilkeborg IF – AC Horsens, kampstart og dommersport.tv2.dk · 7 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.10
The read
Horsens's stronger away form and recent head-to-head wins make them the more likely match winner.
- AC Horsens have won 2 of 4 away league matches, scoring 8 goals.
- Silkeborg have won only 1 of 4 home league matches.
- Horsens won the last two head-to-head meetings.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAC HorsensEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.70
The read
Silkeborg's strong first-half scoring pattern makes them the most likely half-time leader.
- Silkeborg led at half-time in five of their last six matches.
- Silkeborg average 0.75 first-half goals at home and concede 0.5.
- AC Horsens have trailed at half-time in two of their last six matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostSilkeborg IFEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Horsens's strong second-half scoring and Silkeborg's tendency to concede late make an away second-half win likely.
- AC Horsens average 1.5 second-half goals away from home.
- Silkeborg concede 0.75 second-half goals at home.
- Horsens scored three second-half goals in two recent away matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostAC HorsensEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Silkeborg's modest home record and Horsens's strong away form make a home win less likely than an away win. Horsens's stronger away form and recent head-to-head wins make them the more likely match winner.
- Silkeborg have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss in 4 home league matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5.
- AC Horsens have won 2 of 4 away league matches and scored 8 goals on the road.
- AC Horsens have won 2 of 4 away league matches, scoring 8 goals.
- Silkeborg have won only 1 of 4 home league matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostSilkeborg IF or AC HorsensEstimated chance71%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Silkeborg's strong first-half scoring pattern makes them the most likely half-time leader. Despite Silkeborg's fast starts, a level first half remains a strong possibility given both teams' mixed half-time records.
- Silkeborg led at half-time in five of their last six matches.
- Silkeborg average 0.75 first-half goals at home and concede 0.5.
- Silkeborg's first-half goal difference is +0.4 overall.
- AC Horsens have been level at half-time in one of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostSilkeborg IF or DrawEstimated chance78%

Goals5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Horsens's away matches produce high goal totals, making at least three goals more likely than not.
- Silkeborg home league matches average 2.25 total goals (4 scored, 5 conceded in 4).
- AC Horsens away league matches average 3.75 total goals (8 scored, 7 conceded in 4).
- Horsens have scored 5 and 4 goals in two recent away cup games.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both teams score regularly, and Horsens's away scoring makes both teams finding the net likely.
- Silkeborg have scored in 8 of 10 competitive matches and both teams scored in 6.
- AC Horsens have scored in 8 of 11 competitive matches and both teams scored in 8.
- Horsens have scored in 3 of their 4 away league matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Silkeborg's home goal output has been consistently around one, so under 1.5 is the likely outcome.
- Silkeborg average exactly 1.0 goal per home league match.
- They scored one goal in each of their two most recent home matches.
- AC Horsens away concede 1.75 goals per game, but Silkeborg still average one.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostSilkeborg IF under 1.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Horsens's away scoring rate suggests they often score at least twice.
- AC Horsens have scored 8 goals in 4 away league matches (2.0 per game).
- Horsens scored 5 away at Sonderjyske and 4 away in the cup.
- Silkeborg home concede 1.25 goals per game.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonAC Horsens over 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33
The read
Both teams regularly feature first-half goals, making at least one before the break very likely.
- Silkeborg have scored in the first half in five of their last six matches.
- AC Horsens have seen at least one first-half goal in five of their last six matches.
- Only one of the last twelve combined matches had a 0-0 first half.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.95
The read
Horsens's second-half scoring and Silkeborg's concessions point to at least two goals after the break.
- AC Horsens average 1.5 second-half goals away from home.
- Silkeborg average 0.25 second-half goals at home and concede 0.75.
- Combined second-half expected goals exceed 1.5.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance58%

Match stats3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner data points to at least eight corners in the match.
- Silkeborg average 5.25 corners at home.
- AC Horsens average 2.75 corners away.
- Combined total corners average above 8.0.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 7.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate and allow enough shots for the match total to exceed 22.5.
- Silkeborg home matches average 13 shots for and 11 against.
- AC Horsens away matches average 11 shots for and 15 against.
- Combined average total shots exceed 24.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonOver 22.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Under 9.5 is marginally more likely because the combined averages sit just below the line.
- Silkeborg home total shots on target average 9.0.
- AC Horsens away total shots on target average 9.0.
- The line sits almost exactly on their combined averages.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The referee and both teams' card rates make at least four total cards more likely than not.
- Silkeborg matches average 3.5 yellow cards combined.
- AC Horsens matches average 4.1 yellow cards combined.
- Both teams have recent matches with four or more cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance58%