Altach3Wolfsberger AC0

HT 2–0Sun 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–654%

Edges3–350%

PossPossession 48%–52%ShotsShots 14–5On targetOn target 4–1CornersCorners 3–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Oct 2026, 18:36 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom-two Altach and Wolfsberger meet with little league form between them: Altach have lost five league games in a row, Wolfsberger are without an away win.

Altach's home scoring makes them the likeliest single winner, yet the reviewed prices lean the other way — the double chance covering a draw or a Wolfsberger win at 1.8 and Wolfsberger to win at 3.25 both offer something; Altach at 1.95 does not.

Context

Their one league win came at home, and their three home games have produced all five of their league goals along with five conceded. The away half of the record is harsher still: four league games, four defeats, no goals scored and seven conceded. Against a Wolfsberger side also in the bottom two, home is the only place Altach's season has had any substance, even though their run of results is the least encouraging form either team brings.
- Standings as of 8 October 2026: Altach 12th of 12 on 3 points from 7 league games, record 1 win, 0 draws, 6 defeats, 5 goals scored, 12 conceded, form LLLLL.
- Home league record: 3 games, 1 win, 2 defeats, 5 scored, 5 conceded. Away league record: 4 games, 0 wins, 4 defeats, 0 scored, 7 conceded.
It is the clubs' most recent meeting and its shape is unusually clear: Wolfsberg built volume from wide areas and set pieces while Altach scored from one of their few meaningful attacks. The pattern matters more than the result, because it is a single game from a closed chapter rather than current form, and both squads have moved on since. The counterpoint cuts against Wolfsberg as much as for them: Altach conceded only once across that pressure, and a disallowed goal was all that separated a point from three.
- The meeting at the Lavanttal Arena finished 1-1: Patrick Greil put Altach ahead in the 38th minute after a Sandro Ingolitsch set-up, and Nicolas Wimmer headed in a 45+1 equaliser from a Dejan Zukic assist.
- Wolfsberg had an Avdijaj goal disallowed in the 24th minute and were repeatedly kept out by Stojanovic in the Altach goal.
- Wolfsberg finished with 16 shots to Altach's 11 and 12 corners to Altach's two, in front of 2,480 spectators.
- The draw left Altach top of their qualifying group at the time, with Wolfsberg heading into a break facing eight remaining matches.
ConfirmedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 18:34 · Europe/BucharestWolfsberg vs Altach match tickerwww.kicker.de · 14 Mar 2026Wolfsberg 1-1 Altach live pagewww.bbc.com · 14 Mar 2026
A first senior call-up says as much about a midfielder's standing inside Wolfsberg as it does about the national team, and it places a Georgia camp and fixtures in the same week as this match. Whether he features or only travels is what would shape his freshness against Altach, and a half-time withdrawal in his last league start already points to a midfield that rotates. The limitation is that only the call-up itself is established, while his minutes and return state remain open.
- Georgia's squad for the Nations League window includes Wolfsberg's Otar Mamageishvili as a first-time call-up.
- He started Wolfsberg's Bundesliga game at Ried on 20 September and was replaced at half-time.
- O. Mamageishvili started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 18:34 · Europe/Bucharest
Altach have reached the last 16 of the ÖFB Cup and will travel to Grazer AK, with the ticket details published this week confirming the tie as a firm part of the autumn calendar. It does not change the eleven for this league game, but it does mean the coaching staff are working a two-competition schedule in the same block of the season. That is the useful reading for Altach's coming fixtures: knockout progress is a separate objective that can complicate selection and rest.
- Grazer AK host Altach in the ÖFB Cup round of 16; tickets went on sale on 7 October and season tickets are not valid for cup matches.
- Season-ticket holders and members can buy at a 20 per cent discount until 20 October.
ConfirmedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 18:34 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Both Teams Score First HalfwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

No

1.25fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

At least one side has been kept out in the first half in most recent matches.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.22fair 1.35

BetBugs 74% · Market 82%

−8.0ppshort

First-half goals have been common in both teams' recent matches.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.57fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 63.7%

−5.7ppshort

Both teams concede regularly, and their recent matches often reach three goals or more.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Altach's home scoring and Wolfsberger's poor away defense give the home side the better chance, though both are near the bottom.
- Altach home league record: 1 win, 2 losses, 5 goals scored and 5 conceded in 3 matches.
- Wolfsberger away league record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 2 scored and 6 conceded in 3 matches.
- Altach average 1.67 goals per home league game; Wolfsberger concede 2.0 per away league game.
- Altach scored 5 goals in their three home league matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAltachEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Neither side has led often at half-time, making a level first half a reasonable outcome.
- Altach were level at half-time in 1 of their last 5 league games.
- Wolfsberger were level at half-time in 2 of their last 6 matches.
- Both teams have low first-half scoring averages: Altach 0.78 goals for, Wolfsberger 0.75.
- Wolfsberger's away first-half goals for average is 1.0, against 1.25.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance37%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Altach's home scoring and Wolfsberger's poor away defense give the home side the better chance, though both are near the bottom. Wolfsberger are slightly better placed and won heavily at Altach recently, giving them a realistic away chance.
- Altach home league record: 1 win, 2 losses, 5 goals scored and 5 conceded in 3 matches.
- Wolfsberger away league record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 2 scored and 6 conceded in 3 matches.
- Wolfsberger have 5 points to Altach's 3 and sit one place higher in the table.
- Wolfsberger won 4-1 at Altach in May 2026.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonAltach or Wolfsberger ACEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Altach have shown some first-half threat at home, while Wolfsberger often trail early away. Neither side has led often at half-time, making a level first half a reasonable outcome.
- Altach's home league first-half record includes one win and two losses.
- Wolfsberger away league first-half record includes two losses and one draw.
- Altach were level at half-time in 1 of their last 5 league games.
- Wolfsberger were level at half-time in 2 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonAltach or DrawEstimated chance71%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Both teams concede regularly, and their recent matches often reach three goals or more.
- Altach home league matches average 3.33 total goals (5 scored, 5 conceded in 3).
- Wolfsberger away league matches average 2.67 total goals (2 scored, 6 conceded in 3).
- Altach's last five league games produced 2, 3, 3, 3 and 1 goals.
- Wolfsberger's last six league games produced 5, 3, 4, 0, 3 and 2 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Both teams have scored in a majority of their home and away matches respectively.
- Altach home league matches: both teams scored in 3 of 4 home matches.
- Wolfsberger away league matches: both teams scored in 3 of 4 away matches.
- Wolfsberger have scored in 4 of their last 6 league games.
- Altach have scored in 2 of their last 5 league games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Altach have rarely scored more than once recently, even at home.
- Altach failed to score in four of their last five league matches.
- Altach's home league goals came in one 3-goal game and two 1-goal games.
- Wolfsberger kept a clean sheet in one of three away league matches.
- Altach have not scored more than once in any of their last four league matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostAltach under 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wolfsberger's away scoring is low, and Altach have kept some clean sheets.
- Wolfsberger scored 2 goals in 3 away league matches (0.67 per game).
- Wolfsberger failed to score in one away league game and scored exactly one in the other two.
- Altach kept a clean sheet in 2 of 9 competitive matches.
- Wolfsberger have scored more than one goal in a league away match only once this season.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonWolfsberger AC under 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
First-half goals have been common in both teams' recent matches.
- Altach's last six matches produced first-half goals in five of them.
- Wolfsberger's last six matches produced first-half goals in four of them.
- Altach's first-half goals against average is 1.0; Wolfsberger's is 0.875.
- Both teams concede regularly before half-time.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
At least one side has been kept out in the first half in most recent matches.
- Altach and Wolfsberger have each seen both teams score in the first half only once in their last six matches.
- Altach failed to score in the first half in four of their last five league games.
- Wolfsberger failed to score in the first half in four of their last six matches.
- Altach's first-half goals against average is 1.0, while their goals for is 0.78.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance80%

Match stats0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches have often produced ten or more corners.
- Altach's home league matches average 9.7 total corners (6.67 for, 3.0 against).
- Wolfsberger's away league matches average 11.3 total corners (5.67 for, 5.67 against).
- Altach's last five league matches had total corners of 10, 8, 4, 13, 19.
- Wolfsberger's last six league matches had total corners of 9, 7, 15, 15, 10, 12.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches have regularly produced more than 23.5 total shots.
- Altach's last five league matches had total shots of 25, 23, 28, 29, 27.
- Wolfsberger's last six league matches had total shots of 46, 18, 32, 32, 34, 29.
- Altach's home league matches average 25.0 total shots (15.33 for, 9.67 against).
- Wolfsberger's away league matches average 37.3 total shots (15.0 for, 22.33 against).
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 23.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches have often produced seven or more shots on target.
- Altach's last five league matches had total shots on target of 4, 9, 12, 10, 6.
- Wolfsberger's last six league matches had total shots on target of 16, 7, 8, 8, 10, 11.
- Altach's home league matches average 8.67 total shots on target (4.67 for, 4.0 against).
- Wolfsberger's away league matches average 11.33 total shots on target (3.33 for, 8.0 against).
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 6.5Estimated chance68%