BundesligaFull time

Predictions graded

Grazer AK0Wolfsberger AC0

HT 0–0Sat 29 Aug 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–640%

Edges1–420%

PossPossession 70%–30%ShotsShots 26–5On targetOn target 7–1CornersCorners 11–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Aug 2026, 16:43 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Wolfsberger AC or Draw at 1.38 (80% model probability vs 72.5% implied) as the top value play, and consider Wolfsberger to lead at halftime at 2.70 (50% vs 37% implied).

Avoid both teams to score and the -1 handicap, where the odds offer no edge.

Context

Grazer AK sit 11th in the Bundesliga with 3 points from 4 matches.
Their away record is 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, with 0 goals scored and 12 conceded. This includes an 8-0 defeat at Rapid Vienna on 16 August and a 3-0 loss at Lask Linz on 31 July. This match is at home, where they won their only game 2-1 against Austria Lustenau, so the away form may not directly apply, but it shows overall defensive weakness.
- Lost 0-1 at Ried on 21 August 2026.
- Lost 0-8 at Rapid Vienna on 16 August 2026.
- Lost 0-3 at Lask Linz on 31 July 2026.
Grazer AK head coach Gerald Scheiblehner, appointed in August 2026, takes charge for the first time after only three training sessions.
Scheiblehner has said the basic structure will change little, but he intends to alter the team's energy and intensity. That could affect pressing and defensive organisation, though the limited preparation and stated continuity make the extent of change uncertain.
- Grazer AK officially presented Gerald Scheiblehner as its new head coach on 26 August.
- The club said he had completed three training sessions by the pre-match press conference.
- Scheiblehner said he intended to retain the basic structure while changing the team’s energy and intensity.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 09:58 · Europe/BucharestGrazer AK pre-match press conferencewww.grazerak.at · 26 Aug 2026
Wolfsberger AC are 6th in the Bundesliga with 4 points from 3 matches.
Their home record is 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, with 4 goals scored and 1 conceded. They beat Austria Vienna 3-0 on 2 August and drew 1-1 with Red Bull Salzburg on 9 August. However, this match is away, where they lost their only game 1-2 at Austria Lustenau, so their home strength may not carry over.
- Won 3-0 vs Austria Vienna on 2 August 2026.
- Drew 1-1 vs Red Bull Salzburg on 9 August 2026.
The teams have met five times in the Bundesliga since November 2024.
Wolfsberger AC won 1-0 at Grazer AK on 25 April 2026, 2-0 at home on 14 March 2026, and 3-1 away on 4 October 2025. Grazer AK won 4-3 at home on 30 November 2024, and there was a 2-2 draw on 8 February 2026. This suggests Wolfsberger AC have had the upper hand recently, but the sample is small and includes matches from different seasons.
- Wolfsberger AC won 1-0 at Grazer AK on 25 April 2026.
- Wolfsberger AC won 2-0 at home on 14 March 2026.
- Wolfsberger AC won 3-1 at Grazer AK on 4 October 2025.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Wolfsberger's superior overall form and goal difference give them the edge, but Grazer AK's recent home H2H win tempers confidence.
- Wolfsberger AC average 2.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over last 15 matches.
- Grazer AK average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over last 15 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC won 2 of last 3 Bundesliga meetings, but Grazer AK won the most recent home H2H 2-0.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostWolfsberger ACEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Grazer AK's poor defensive record and Wolfsberger's consistency make a Wolfsberger loss unlikely.
- Grazer AK have lost 3 of 4 league matches this season, conceding 13 goals.
- Wolfsberger AC have only lost 1 of 3 league matches this season.
- Wolfsberger AC are unbeaten in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonWolfsberger AC or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Wolfsberger's tendency to start strong and Grazer AK's slow starts support a Wolfsberger halftime lead.
- Wolfsberger AC led at halftime in 67% of matches.
- Grazer AK trailed at halftime in 47% of matches.
- Wolfsberger AC average 1.5 first-half goals vs Grazer AK's 0.5.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostWolfsberger ACEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Wolfsberger's ability to lead early and maintain leads makes a halftime/fulltime double possible but not highly probable.
- Wolfsberger AC led at halftime in 67% of matches and won 60% of matches.
- Grazer AK lost 75% of matches this season.
- Wolfsberger AC have a positive goal difference while Grazer AK have -11.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostWolfsberger AC/Wolfsberger ACEstimated chance35%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches trend high-scoring, and H2H history supports goals.
- Wolfsberger AC matches average 3.8 total goals (2.9 for, 0.9 against).
- Grazer AK matches average 3.4 total goals (1.4 for, 2.0 against).
- Last 5 H2H meetings produced 3, 2, 4, 4, and 7 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Wolfsberger's occasional defensive lapses and Grazer AK's home scoring ability make both teams scoring plausible.
- Grazer AK scored in 3 of last 5 matches across all competitions.
- Wolfsberger AC conceded in 4 of last 5 Bundesliga matches.
- Both teams scored in 3 of last 5 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Wolfsberger's strong first-half scoring and Grazer AK's early defensive weakness could produce multiple first-half goals.
- Wolfsberger AC average 1.5 first-half goals scored.
- Grazer AK average 1.1 first-half goals conceded.
- Wolfsberger AC led at halftime in 67% of matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Wolfsberger's defense has been leaky on the road, and Grazer AK have shown they can score at home.
- Wolfsberger AC kept a clean sheet in only 2 of last 5 Bundesliga matches.
- Grazer AK scored in 3 of last 5 matches overall.
- Grazer AK scored 2 goals in their only home league match this season.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGrazer AK to scoreEstimated chance60%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches tend to produce a moderate number of corners, making over 8.5 a coin flip.
- Grazer AK average 4.2 corners for and 5.6 corners against per match.
- Wolfsberger AC average 4.1 corners for and 5.3 corners against per match.
- Combined average corners in their matches is around 9.7.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams accumulate cards at a rate that makes over 4.5 cards likely but not certain.
- Grazer AK average 2.8 yellow cards per match.
- Wolfsberger AC average 2.3 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average yellow cards is 5.1.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 72% leaves no cushion vs our 55% match winner estimate; the -1 handicap requires a multi-goal win that the H2H balance does not support.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

L1-0Wolfsberger ACvGrazer AKApr 25, 2026BL

W2-0Grazer AKvWolfsberger ACMar 14, 2026BL

D2-2Wolfsberger ACvGrazer AKFeb 8, 2026BL

L1-3Grazer AKvWolfsberger ACOct 4, 2025BL

L3-4Grazer AKvWolfsberger ACNov 30, 2024BL

3.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Bundesliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
11	Grazer AK Bundesliga (Relegation Group)	4	1	0	3	2-13	3	LLWL
6	Wolfsberger AC Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)	3	1	1	1	5-3	4	LDW

1pt gap between teamsGrazer AK in relegation zone

Recent Form

Grazer AK

L0-1RiedAug 21BL

L0-8Rapid ViennaAug 16BL

W2-1Austria LustenauAug 8BL

L0-3Lask LinzJul 31BL

W4-0Fach-DonaufeldJul 25CUP

L0-5Dynamo DresdenJul 18FRI

W1-0SV KapfenbergJul 11FRI

L2-4First ViennaJul 7FRI

L0-1Slovan BratislavaJun 24FRI

D2-2Gyori ETO FCJun 19FRI

W3-0FC BW LinzMay 16BL

D2-2SCR AltachMay 9BL

W4-0WSG WattensMay 2BL

L0-1Wolfsberger ACApr 25BL

L1-2RiedApr 21BL

Wolfsberger AC

L1-2Austria LustenauAug 15BL

D1-1Red Bull SalzburgAug 9BL

W3-0Austria ViennaAug 2BL

W5-1LauterachJul 24CUP

W4-0VeldenJul 20FRI

W6-1SV KapfenbergJul 17FRI

D1-1Hradec KrálovéJul 13FRI

D3-3FC KharkivJul 10FRI

W8-2Admira WackerJul 3FRI

W2-0Železničar PančevoJun 30FRI

W2-0NyiregyhazaJun 27FRI

L1-2RiedMay 19BL

W2-0WSG WattensMay 16BL

W1-0RiedMay 9BL

W4-1SCR AltachMay 4BL

Squad & Injuries

Grazer AK

26 available

Attackers5

Midfielders9

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Wolfsberger AC

26 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Wolfsberger AC or Draw

Wolfsberger AC

Wolfsberger AC

Over 2.5

Yes

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Wolfsberger AC -1

Yes

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Grazer AK

Wolfsberger AC

Squad & Injuries

Grazer AK

Wolfsberger AC