Deportivo Pereira0Deportivo Cali0

HT 0–0Sat 10 Oct 2026, 20:30 Predictions graded

Predictions9–660%

Edges4–0100%

PossPossession 52%–48%ShotsShots 4–7On targetOn target 1–2CornersCorners 3–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Oct 2026, 01:41 · Europe/Bucharest

A side with one league win in 19, under a new coach and missing a suspended midfielder, hosts a Cali team on a five-match winning run but without captain Gustavo Cuéllar and with a poor away record.

Cali are the likelier winner, though a tight, low-scoring game is more probable than a comfortable away victory. The draw at 3.8 and the level half-time score at 2.1 are the two quoted prices with a case; Cali at 1.67 is not.

Context

A new manager's opening match normally brings changes to the starting eleven and to how a side is set up, and Pereira's squad has had only a handful of sessions under Márquez, fewer than usual because they cannot train at home. He has emphasised tactical work, a more secure and quicker passing game, and greater efficiency in both boxes — a departure from a team that conceded four at Cúcuta in its previous outing. The counterpoint is time and circumstance: the fixture was moved, the group is in the bottom three, and one week is rarely enough for a wholesale transformation.
- Alexis Márquez is Deportivo Pereira's head coach for a second spell, taking over from Arturo Reyes.
- His previous spell in charge ended with a Copa Colombia runner-up finish.
- He arrived from Nacional Potosí in Bolivia and previously played for Pereira.
- The visit of Deportivo Cali is his first match in charge.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 01:39 · Europe/Bucharest
Cuéllar is Deportivo Cali's captain and their deepest midfield presence, so his suspension removes the screen in front of the back line for a match in which the visitors are expected to dominate the ball. The ban spans three league fixtures, which means the staff must settle on a replacement rather than rotate for a single night. The effect may be partly absorbed, because Cali's recent run has been built on collective defending and they won the match in which he was sent off.
- Gustavo Cuéllar was sent off in the 80th minute of Deportivo Cali's 3-1 win over Alianza Valledupar.
- The dismissal followed offensive language toward an opponent and carried a two-match suspension and a fine of 1,167,270 pesos.
- Accumulated yellow cards extend his absence to three matches: Pereira, Junior and Llaneros.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 01:39 · Europe/Bucharest
Pereira are playing this fixture hundreds of kilometres from their own city because their Pereira stadium cannot currently host, turning a scheduled home game into a long trip in an unfamiliar setting. They have already played two league home matches in Yopal this season, so the pitch and routine are not entirely new, and the ground has drawn local support. For Cali it adds travel and an unusual venue that can chip away at the edge a top-of-the-table side would normally carry. The practical effect is on preparation windows for both squads rather than on the playing surface itself.
- The October 10 fixture is set for the Estadio Santiago de las Atalayas in Yopal at 3:30 pm local time.
- Deportivo Pereira have moved home matches to Yopal while the Hernán Ramírez Villegas in Pereira is unavailable.
- Pereira's home fixtures against Internacional de Bogotá and Santa Fe were also played in Yopal in late September.
- The match day was switched to Saturday 10 October.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 01:39 · Europe/Bucharest
The dismissal came in the 41st minute, leaving Pereira a man down for most of a match they lost heavily, and his suspension removes a midfield option for the first game under a new coach. It trims continuity in the middle at exactly the point the side is being reorganised. The impact is limited, though, because Márquez was already expected to change the line-up and because the sending-off occurred in a game Pereira were already losing by a distance.
- Bermúdez was shown a straight red card in the 41st minute of Deportivo Pereira's 4-0 defeat at Cúcuta on 4 October.
- He is listed as suspended for the October 10 home fixture against Deportivo Cali.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 01:39 · Europe/BucharestMatch pagewww.fotmob.com · 8 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cali are in clear form and face a side with one league win all season, so they should control the match even away from home.
- Cali have won their last five league games: 3-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-0 and 2-1.
- Cali have 8 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 14 competitive matches, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.93 per game.
- Pereira sit 20th with 1 win, 7 draws and 11 losses in 19 league games and lost 4-0 at Cúcuta on 4 October.
- Cali's league away record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDeportivo CaliEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.10
The read
First-half scoring rates are low for both teams, making a level half-time score the most likely outcome.
- Cali's last six league half-time scores were 0-0, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0 and 1-0.
- Pereira average 0.33 first-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
- Cali average 0.64 first-half goals scored and 0.21 conceded per game.
- Pereira's home half-time scores in this window include 0-0 and 1-1.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half goal expectations are low enough that an even final period is the single most likely outcome.
- Pereira average 0.4 second-half goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game.
- Cali average 0.93 second-half goals scored and 0.71 conceded overall, but 0.5 scored away.
- Pereira's last six second-half totals were 1, 1, 0, 3, 1 and 1 goals.
- Cali's last six second-half totals were 4, 1, 0, 2, 2 and 1 goals.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Pereira's draw-heavy, low-scoring home games and Cali's modest away record point to a tight match with little separating the sides. Cali are in clear form and face a side with one league win all season, so they should control the match even away from home.
- Pereira have drawn 7 of 19 league games and 6 of their last 15 competitive matches.
- Cali have drawn 6 of 19 league games and 3 of their last 14 competitive matches.
- Cali have won their last five league games: 3-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-0 and 2-1.
- Cali have 8 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 14 competitive matches, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.93 per game.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Deportivo CaliEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring rates are low for both teams, making a level half-time score the most likely outcome. Cali have repeatedly gone ahead before the break while Pereira have often conceded early.
- Cali's last six league half-time scores were 0-0, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0 and 1-0.
- Pereira average 0.33 first-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
- Cali led at half time in five of their last six league matches.
- Cali average 0.64 first-half goals scored and 0.21 conceded per game.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Deportivo CaliEstimated chance86%

Goals5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Pereira's low scoring rate and Cali's solid defensive numbers suggest a match short of three goals.
- Pereira average 0.73 goals scored per game over 15 competitive matches.
- Cali average 0.93 conceded per game over 14 competitive matches.
- Four of the last five head-to-heads had two goals or fewer.
- Pereira's league home games show 9 goals for and 13 against in 9 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Pereira's scoring output is low and Cali's defence has held firm in a third of their matches this window.
- Pereira have scored only 9 goals in 15 competitive matches, an average of 0.73 per game.
- Cali have kept five clean sheets in 14 competitive matches.
- Pereira scored 0, 0 and 2 goals in the last three meetings with Cali.
- Pereira have 5 goals in 7 home matches in this window.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Pereira's attack rarely produces two goals in a match, and Cali's defence has been resilient.
- Pereira average 0.73 goals per game across 15 competitive matches.
- Pereira have 5 goals in 7 home matches in this window, and 9 in 9 league home games.
- Pereira were held 0-0 at home by Internacional de Bogotá on 26 September.
- Cali have kept five clean sheets in 14 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonDeportivo Pereira under 1.5Estimated chance76%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cali's away scoring drops well below their overall rate, and Pereira have kept a clean sheet in several home games.
- Cali have scored 6 goals in their 8 away matches in this window, 0.75 per game.
- Cali's league away record shows 8 goals in 9 games.
- Pereira have kept three clean sheets in 7 home matches.
- Pereira concede 1.29 goals per game at home in this window.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonDeportivo Cali under 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Recent matches for both sides have usually included a goal before the break.
- Ten of the last twelve matches involving these two teams produced at least one first-half goal.
- Pereira concede 0.8 first-half goals per game, Cali score 0.64.
- Pereira have scored or conceded a first-half goal in five of their last six games.
- Cali have scored a first-half goal in five of their last six league games.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second-half scoring rates are low enough that fewer than two goals is the likelier outcome.
- Pereira average 0.4 second-half goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game.
- Cali average 0.5 second-half goals scored in their 8 away matches.
- Pereira have scored 0.43 second-half goals per home match.
- Four of Cali's last six second halves contained one goal or none.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede more corners than they win, and their recent totals sit close to the eight-corner line.
- Pereira average 3.09 corners for and 5.0 against in 11 matches.
- Cali average 3.08 corners for and 4.17 against in 12 matches.
- Pereira's last three home matches had corner totals of 9, 9 and 6.
- Cali's last six matches had corner totals of 8, 8, 12, 6, 4 and 10.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 7.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Opponents take plenty of shots against Pereira and Cali's matches are generally busy, pushing the total towards twenty.
- Pereira's matches average 8.6 shots for them and 16.3 against.
- Cali's matches average 11.1 shots for them and 12.7 against.
- Cali's last six matches produced shot totals of 21, 29, 28, 19, 22 and 31.
- Pereira's last five matches with data produced shot totals of 17, 19, 25, 23 and 22.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 19.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Pereira concede a high number of shots on target and Cali's matches are regularly above eight.
- Pereira's matches average 3.1 shots on target for them and 6.7 against.
- Cali's matches average 4.75 on target for them and 4.1 against.
- Cali's last six matches produced on-target totals of 8, 12, 9, 8, 8 and 12.
- Pereira's last five matches produced on-target totals of 6, 10, 6, 13 and 10.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 7.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams pick up around three yellow cards each and this fixture has a disciplinary edge, with two suspended midfielders absent.
- Pereira average 3.09 yellow cards and Cali 2.92 per game, with opponents around 3.1 each.
- Pereira's last four matches with data produced card totals of 9 plus a red, 8 plus two reds, 10 and 9.
- Cali's last six matches produced card totals of 9 plus a red, 5, 4 plus a red, 4, 2 and 10.
- Each side is missing a midfielder suspended after a sending-off.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 6.5Estimated chance55%