Gimpo0Seoul E-Land1

HT 0–0Fri 9 Oct 2026, 07:30 Predictions graded

Predictions9–282%

Edges5–183%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Oct 2026, 03:41 · Europe/Bucharest

Seoul E-Land sit third and have not lost in seven tracked away matches, while Gimpo have won only twice in ten home league games.

The visitors are the likelier winners, but their 2.2 price asks more than the case supports. A goalless first half at 3.25, the first half to end level at 2.25, fewer than three goals at 2.05 and Seoul E-Land to win or draw at 1.38 are the quoted positions that hold up.

Context

Seoul E-Land's away profile is slow-starting and late-finishing: 0.29 goals before the break against 1.29 after it across seven matches, with just 0.14 conceded in first halves. Gimpo's home first halves are similarly quiet at 0.58 goals each way, which is why the opening period shapes several of the angles around this fixture. Seven matches is a short base, not a season-long rate.
- Seoul E-Land's seven tracked away matches run from 31 May to 4 September 2026: 4 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats.
- In those seven away matches they average 0.29 goals for and 0.14 against in the first half, and 1.29 for and 0.57 against in the second half.
Gimpo have collected 11 points at home and 24 away in this league season, with 12 scored and 14 conceded at home against 19 for and 16 against on the road. The venue has not worked in their favour even though five of those ten home games ended level. Two home wins from ten is a small base to lean on, but the draws in the same record explain why the visitors' away strength alone does not settle the fixture.
- K League 2 table as of 6 October 2026: Gimpo are 7th on 35 points from 25 matches (8 wins, 11 draws, 6 defeats, 31 scored, 30 conceded).
- Gimpo's home record is 10 played, 2 wins, 5 draws, 3 defeats, 12 scored and 14 conceded; their away record is 15 played, 6 wins, 6 draws, 3 defeats, 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Seoul E-Land have won on each of their last two league visits to Gimpo, 0-1 in October 2025 and 1-2 in May 2025, part of a run of three wins in the last five meetings between the clubs. Gimpo's home record against them is therefore thin, although those results involved different squads and line-ups from the ones available now. It reads as shared history for the fixture rather than a live factor.
- Gimpo 0-1 Seoul E-Land, K League 2, 11 October 2025.
- The earlier league visit, on 18 May 2025, finished Gimpo 1-2 Seoul E-Land.
Seoul E-Land took the previous meeting 2-1 through a retaken penalty, and Gimpo ended the night with nine men after two stoppage-time dismissals. It is a concrete record of how the two sides matched up in their spring meeting, and Gimpo's late breakdown under pressure is the sort of detail a preview would pick out. The specific limitation is that those red cards were served as suspensions months ago and have no bearing on who is available now, so the value here is shared history rather than a live edge for either side.
- Seoul E-Land beat Gimpo 2-1 at Mokdong Stadium on 3 May 2026 in K League 2 round 10.
- Euller scored the winning goal from a retaken penalty.
- Gimpo's Luan and goalkeeper Son Jeong-hyun were both sent off in stoppage time.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 03:39 · Europe/BucharestChosun Ilbo Englishwww.chosun.com · 3 May 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.20
The read
The visitors have the stronger season output and have not lost away all season, while Gimpo have won only twice at home in the league.
- Seoul E-Land are unbeaten in 7 away matches this season (4 wins, 3 draws), conceding 0.71 goals per game.
- Gimpo's league home record is 2 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses with 12 scored and 14 conceded in 10 games.
- Seoul E-Land sit 3rd on 48 points from 26; Gimpo are 7th on 35 from 25.
- Seoul E-Land have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including both visits to Gimpo.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSeoul E-LandEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.25
The read
Both teams start slowly, with low first-half scoring on both sides of this fixture, keeping the opening period level more often than not.
- Gimpo's home first halves average 0.58 goals scored and 0.58 conceded.
- Seoul E-Land's away first halves average 0.29 scored and 0.14 conceded.
- Seoul E-Land's overall first-half concession rate is 0.40 per game across 15 matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Seoul E-Land do most of their scoring after the break on the road, which is the clearest second-half signal in this match.
- Seoul E-Land score 1.29 second-half goals per away match and concede 0.57.
- Seoul E-Land's overall second-half goal difference is +0.53 per game across 15 matches.
- Gimpo score 0.67 and concede 0.67 second-half goals per home match.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonSeoul E-LandEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38
The read
The visitors have the stronger season output and have not lost away all season, while Gimpo have won only twice at home in the league. Gimpo's draw-heavy home record and Seoul E-Land's habit of taking a point on the road make a share of the points a live outcome.
- Seoul E-Land are unbeaten in 7 away matches this season (4 wins, 3 draws), conceding 0.71 goals per game.
- Gimpo's league home record is 2 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses with 12 scored and 14 conceded in 10 games.
- Gimpo have drawn 11 of 25 league matches, including 5 of 10 at home.
- Seoul E-Land have drawn 3 of their 7 away matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Seoul E-LandEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams start slowly, with low first-half scoring on both sides of this fixture, keeping the opening period level more often than not. Seoul E-Land's first-half record is the better of the two, mostly through a tight defensive start rather than heavy scoring.
- Gimpo's home first halves average 0.58 goals scored and 0.58 conceded.
- Seoul E-Land's away first halves average 0.29 scored and 0.14 conceded.
- Seoul E-Land concede 0.14 first-half goals per away match.
- Seoul E-Land's overall first-half goal difference is +0.13 per game across 15 matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Seoul E-LandEstimated chance77%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.05
The read
Seoul E-Land's away games have been low-scoring and their defence has been tight, which pulls the total below the line.
- Seoul E-Land's away matches average 2.28 total goals (1.57 scored, 0.71 conceded).
- Seoul E-Land kept 3 clean sheets in 7 away matches.
- Gimpo's home matches average 2.5 total goals.
- Gimpo's overall games average 2.6 total goals across 15 tracked matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Both sides have scored in the large majority of their relevant home and away matches, pointing to each finding the net.
- Gimpo scored in 11 of 12 home matches.
- Seoul E-Land scored in 6 of 7 away matches.
- Both teams scored in 10 of Gimpo's 15 tracked matches and 11 of Seoul E-Land's 15.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Seoul E-Land's away scoring sits just above one goal a game, so reaching two or more is not their usual away output.
- Seoul E-Land's away goals-for average is 1.57 across 7 matches.
- They scored in 6 of those 7 away matches, but the total was spread thin.
- Gimpo have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 home matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonSeoul E-Land under 1.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
A single first-half goal is the more likely outcome, since neither side's opening periods are completely scoreless on current rates.
- Gimpo's home first halves average 0.58 goals scored and 0.58 conceded.
- Seoul E-Land's away first halves average 0.29 scored and 0.14 conceded.
- Blended first-half expectation for this match is roughly one goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring on both sides is low enough that both teams finding the net before the break is unlikely.
- Seoul E-Land concede 0.14 first-half goals per away match.
- Gimpo concede 0.58 first-half goals per home match.
- Combined first-half scoring expectation is around one goal per match.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The blended second-half rate sits just above one and a half goals, so staying under the line is marginally the more likely outcome.
- Gimpo's home second halves average 1.33 total goals.
- Seoul E-Land's away second halves average 1.86 total goals.
- Blended second-half expectation for this match is around 1.6 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance52%