Scotland11 – 2Slovenia2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.91

The read

Scotland have home advantage and a recent away win, while Slovenia are draw-prone and rarely win away.

• Scotland have won 3 of 6 home competitive matches in the tracked window.
• Slovenia have drawn 6 of 9 competitive matches and won only 1.
• Scotland beat North Macedonia 2-0 away on 3 October.
• Slovenia's away record is 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in 4.

BetBugs · Match WinnerScotlandMarket price1.91Estimated chance42%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.10

The read

Both teams rarely score before half-time, making a first-half draw the most likely outcome.

• Slovenia have scored 0 first-half goals in 9 competitive matches.
• Scotland first-half goals for average is 0.36.
• The recent H2H first half was 0-0.
• Slovenia away first-half goals against average is 0.75.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Scotland score more after half-time and have a stronger second-half home scoring rate than Slovenia's away output.

• Scotland second-half goals for 0.91, against 0.82.
• Scotland home second-half goals for 1.17, against 1.17.
• Slovenia second-half goals for 0.56, against 0.33.
• Slovenia away second-half goals for 0.25, against 0.25.

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerScotlandEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Scotland have home advantage and a recent away win, while Slovenia are draw-prone and rarely win away. Slovenia's low-scoring, hard-to-beat profile and the recent 0-0 meeting make a draw a strong possibility.

• Scotland have won 3 of 6 home competitive matches in the tracked window.
• Slovenia have drawn 6 of 9 competitive matches and won only 1.
• Slovenia have drawn 6 of 9 competitive matches.
• Scotland have drawn 2 of 11 competitive matches.

BetBugs · Double ChanceScotland or DrawEstimated chance76%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Scotland are more likely than Slovenia to score in the first half, though the half is often tight. Both teams rarely score before half-time, making a first-half draw the most likely outcome.

• Scotland first-half goals for average is 0.36.
• Slovenia first-half goals for average is 0.
• Slovenia have scored 0 first-half goals in 9 competitive matches.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfScotland or DrawEstimated chance82%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57

The read

Slovenia's away matches are low-scoring and their defence has kept clean sheets regularly, supporting a tight game.

• Slovenia away average total is 1.25 goals.
• Slovenia overall average total is 1.44.
• The most recent meeting finished 0-0.
• Scotland first-half goals average 0.36 and second-half 0.91.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67

The read

Slovenia's away scoring is minimal and Scotland have recently been shut out at home, making at least one blank likely.

• Slovenia failed to score in 3 of 4 away matches.
• Slovenia kept 5 clean sheets in 9 competitive matches.
• Scotland failed to score in 3 of their last 4 home matches.
• The most recent meeting finished 0-0.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Scotland's home scoring is inconsistent and Slovenia's defence is strong, making 0 or 1 Scotland goal more likely.

• Scotland home average goals for is 1.5.
• Scotland scored 0 in three of their last four home matches.
• Slovenia away average goals against is 1.0.
• Slovenia kept 5 clean sheets in 9 competitive matches.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalScotland under 1.5Estimated chance58%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Slovenia's away scoring record makes it unlikely they score two or more at Hampden.

• Slovenia have scored 1 goal in 4 away matches.
• Slovenia overall average goals for is 0.56.
• Slovenia failed to score in 3 of 4 away matches.
• Scotland home average goals against is 1.83.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalSlovenia under 1.5Estimated chance88%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Scotland's home defensive record suggests they are unlikely to shut Slovenia out.

• Scotland have 0 clean sheets in 6 home matches.
• Scotland home average goals against is 1.83.
• Slovenia scored in 1 of 4 away matches.
• Slovenia overall scored 3 goals in 9 competitive matches.

BetBugs · Team to ScoreSlovenia to scoreEstimated chance64%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Slovenia's defence is strong and Scotland have recently struggled to score at Hampden, making a clean sheet likely.

• Slovenia have 5 clean sheets in 9 competitive matches.
• Slovenia away clean sheets: 2 in 4.
• Scotland scored 0 in three of their last four home matches.
• The recent H2H was 0-0 with Oblak man of the match.

BetBugs · Team to ScoreScotland not to scoreEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.70

The read

Both teams have very low first-half scoring rates, making 0-0 at half-time the more likely outcome.

• Slovenia have scored 0 first-half goals in 9 competitive matches.
• Scotland first-half goals for average is 0.36.
• The recent H2H first half was 0-0.
• Scotland first-half goals against average is 0.45.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Slovenia's low second-half scoring and conceding rate makes under 1.5 second-half goals more likely.

• Slovenia away second-half total average is 0.5.
• Slovenia overall second-half total average is 0.89.
• Scotland overall second-half total average is 1.73.
• The recent H2H second half was 0-0.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches average around or above 8 corners, and the recent meeting produced 9.

• Scotland overall corners total average is 10.09.
• Scotland home corners total average is 10.0.
• Slovenia overall corners total average is 8.11.
• Slovenia away corners total average is 8.0 and the recent H2H had 9 corners.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Scotland's matches generate a high volume of shots, and the recent meeting had 21 total.

• Scotland overall shots total average is 25.9.
• Scotland home shots total average is 27.17.
• Slovenia overall shots total average is 19.11.
• Slovenia away shots total average is 18.75 and the recent H2H had 21 shots.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Slovenia's away matches have low shots on target totals, and the recent meeting finished on six.

• Scotland overall shots on target total average is 8.0.
• Slovenia overall shots on target total average is 5.44.
• Slovenia away shots on target total average is 4.75.
• The recent H2H had 6 shots on target.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent matches have produced around or above four cards, and the last meeting had four.

• Scotland overall yellow cards total average is 3.82.
• Scotland home yellow cards total average is 3.0 with reds adding to the total.
• Slovenia overall yellow cards total average is 2.89 with reds adding to the total.
• The recent H2H had 4 yellow cards.