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World Cup 2026
Scotland

Scotland - Morocco

Morocco
World Cup World Cup 2026FinishedFeatured
Friday, June 19, 2026 at 22:00

Finished Snapshot

FT0-1
FinishedSettled

Halftime

0-1

Predictions

6W · 3L · 0P

Edges

4W · 2L · 0P

Match Stats

Possession

41%-59%

Shots

6-12

Shots on Target

0-2

Corners

1-5
World Cup match read

Quick Take

Start here for the short read and the strongest priced leans.

A point suits Scotland perfectly, and Morocco's high draw rate (4 in last 5) points to a stalemate. The draw at 3.50 (implied 29%, our estimate 40%) and Scotland or Draw at 2.05 (implied 49%, our estimate 65%) offer clear value. Under 2.5 goals is also supported by both teams' defensive records, but the draw is the top actionable takeaway.

Context 7/10 Scotland's clear motivation to play for a draw and Morocco's high draw rate create a strong match-shaping dynamic, supported by a pro-Scotland crowd and settled team news.
1 St Half Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.570%Fair price
Double ChanceScotland or Draw65%+16.0pp
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.565%+3.3pp

Context Signals

The match conditions that matter before looking at the prices.

Betting Edges

Markets where the model and price are far enough apart.

Model probabilities

The model view before price and edge filtering.

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

League Table

World Cup 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGF-GAPts
1
ScotlandScotland
Round of 32
11001-03
2
MoroccoMorocco
Round of 32
10101-11
2pt gap between teamsScotland leads the league

Recent Form

Scotland

Scotland

W1-0HaitiJun 14WOR
W4-0BoliviaJun 6FRI
W4-1CuraçaoMay 30FRI
L0-1Ivory CoastMar 31FRI
L0-1JapanMar 28FRI
W4-2DenmarkNov 18WOR
L2-3GreeceNov 15WOR
W2-1BelarusOct 12WOR
W3-1GreeceOct 9WOR
W2-0BelarusSep 8WOR
D0-0DenmarkSep 5WOR
W4-0LiechtensteinJun 9FRI
L1-3IcelandJun 6FRI
L0-3GreeceMar 23UEF
W1-0GreeceMar 20UEF
Morocco

Morocco

D1-1BrazilJun 13WOR
D1-1NorwayJun 7FRI
W4-0MadagascarJun 2FRI
W5-0BurundiMay 26FRI
W2-1ParaguayMar 31FRI
D1-1EcuadorMar 27FRI
W2-0CameroonJan 9AFR
W1-0TanzaniaJan 4AFR
W3-0ZambiaDec 29AFR
D1-1MaliDec 26AFR
W2-0ComorosDec 21AFR
W3-0United Arab EmiratesDec 15ARA
W1-0SyriaDec 11ARA
W1-0Saudi ArabiaDec 8ARA
D0-0OmanDec 5ARA

Squad & Injuries

Scotland

26 available
Attackers6
Midfielders7
Defenders10
Goalkeeper3

Morocco

26 available
Attackers4
Midfielders10
Defenders9
Goalkeeper3
Scotland enter this Group C clash knowing a point will almost certainly secure their first-ever World Cup knockout berth, and manager Steve Clarke has publicly acknowledged the pressure has eased after the 1-0 win over Haiti. That context points to a controlled, risk-managed approach from the Scots, who will lean on a defense conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their last 15 outings. Morocco, meanwhile, are unbeaten in 15 matches and still have a genuine shot at topping the group after a 1-1 draw with Brazil, so motivation remains high without forcing desperation.