Deportivo Paraguayo11 – 1CA Lugano1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams average well under a goal before the break, so the half-time score is most often level.

• Both teams average 0.40 first-half goals across the window.
• Paraguayo's home first-half goals-against average is 0.50.
• Lugano's away first-half goals-against average is 0.333.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Few goals arrive after the break in these teams' matches, so the second half usually finishes level.

• Paraguayo average 0.375 second-half goals for and against at home.
• Lugano's away second-half goals-against average is 0.167.
• Combined second-half scoring in the window is low for both teams.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Two low-scoring sides with a strong recent history of drawn meetings make a level finish one of the likeliest outcomes. Lugano sit well above the hosts and have the division's meanest defence, which should travel well to Villa Scasso.

• Lugano have drawn 12 of 29 league games and 6 of 15 in the window.
• Paraguayo have drawn 9 of 29 league games, 2 of 8 at home in the window.
• Lugano are 3rd in Zona A with 45 points from 29 games, 15 points clear of the hosts.
• Their league away record is 6W 4D 4L, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or CA LuganoEstimated chance73%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Paraguayo's home first halves are the more productive side of a generally quiet opening period for both teams. Both teams average well under a goal before the break, so the half-time score is most often level.

• Paraguayo average 0.625 first-half goals at home.
• Paraguayo concede 0.50 first-half goals at home.
• Both teams average 0.40 first-half goals across the window.
• Paraguayo's home first-half goals-against average is 0.50.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDeportivo Paraguayo or DrawEstimated chance76%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Both teams score about one goal a game and Lugano concede rarely, so a low total is the more likely shape of the match.

• Paraguayo average 0.73 scored and 1.00 conceded per window match.
• Lugano average 0.93 scored and 0.60 conceded per window match.
• Lugano's away matches average 1.5 total goals, with four clean sheets in six.
• The most recent head-to-head finished 0-0.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

One goal or fewer from the hosts is the likelier outcome given their home scoring rate and Lugano's away defence.

• Paraguayo average 1.00 goal per home match and 0.73 overall in the window.
• Lugano have kept four clean sheets in six away matches.
• Lugano concede 0.60 goals per match across the window.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonDeportivo Paraguayo under 1.5Estimated chance80%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Lugano score roughly once a game and have not managed two in any of their recent outings.

• Lugano average 1.00 goal per away match and 0.93 overall in the window.
• None of Lugano's last six matches contained two goals for them.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonCA Lugano under 1.5Estimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Lugano have been finding the net in most recent games and Paraguayo concede close to a goal a game at home.

• Lugano scored in five of their last six matches.
• Paraguayo kept only two clean sheets in eight home matches in the window.
• Paraguayo concede 0.875 goals per home match.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCA Lugano to scoreEstimated chance62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Paraguayo have been scoring more freely of late, which makes a second straight away shutout for Lugano less likely.

• Paraguayo average 1.00 goal per home match in the window.
• Paraguayo scored nine goals in their last six matches.
• Lugano concede 0.50 per away match.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonDeportivo Paraguayo to scoreEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The hosts rarely combine a win with a shutout, so most of their winning outcomes would involve conceding.

• Only two of Paraguayo's eight home matches in the window ended with a clean sheet.
• Paraguayo concede 0.875 goals per home match.
• Lugano have scored in five of their last six games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Paraguayo score often enough at home that Lugano taking all three points without conceding is the less likely path.

• Paraguayo scored nine goals across their last six matches.
• Paraguayo average 1.00 goal per home match in the window.
• Lugano drew 12 of 29 league games, so many of their results are not wins.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The two teams combine for roughly one first-half goal in an average game, making at least one goal marginally more likely than none.

• Paraguayo average 0.625 first-half goals at home; Lugano average 0.333 away.
• Paraguayo concede 0.50 first-half goals at home; Lugano concede 0.333 away.
• Four of Paraguayo's last six matches had a first-half goal.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The combined second-half scoring rate points to one goal or fewer in most games between these sides.

• Lugano concede 0.167 second-half goals per away match.
• Lugano score 0.667 and Paraguayo 0.375 second-half goals in the relevant splits.
• Paraguayo's home second-half goals-against average is 0.375.