Juventud Unida San Miguel
Market 15.4% · BetBugs 45%
Juventud Unida San Miguel's superior league position and away form, combined with Deportivo Paraguayo's poor home record, give the visitors the edge.
Primera CFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Juventud Unida San Miguel are undervalued away from home: the away win at 6.50 (implied 15%) offers a +30pt edge over our 45% estimate.
Goals should be scarce, so the Under 3.5 at 2.50 (+20pt edge) is also a strong play. Avoid the home win and Over 3.5, as the market's pricing is not supported by the data.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Juventud Unida San MiguelMarket 15.4% · BetBugs 45%
Juventud Unida San Miguel's superior league position and away form, combined with Deportivo Paraguayo's poor home record, give the visitors the edge.
Market 43.9% · BetBugs 70%
The away side's resilience on the road and the home team's struggles make a Juventud Unida win or draw highly likely.
Market 40% · BetBugs 55%
The home team's tendency to keep first halves tight and the away side's moderate first-half scoring make a draw at the break likely.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 69% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Deportivo ParaguayoTorneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation - Play Offs) | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 12-30 | 20 |
| 8 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25-21 | 32 |

