League OneFull time

Predictions graded

Huddersfield Town1Notts County1

HT 1–1Sat 5 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–833%

Edges4–357%

PossPossession 65%–35%ShotsShots 18–9On targetOn target 7–3CornersCorners 9–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 2 Sep 2026, 00:50 · Europe/Bucharest

Huddersfield are favourites at home, but the 1.65 odds offer no value (55% model probability).

The best edge is Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 (60% model probability), while first-half markets and the double chance are overpriced and should be avoided. Monitor Radulović's fitness before betting.

Context

Huddersfield Town are second in League One with seven points from three matches, two points behind leaders Blackpool.
Their recent form includes a 3-1 home win over Oxford United on 1 September and a 2-1 away win at Cambridge United on 29 August. Notts County have drawn their last two league games, including a 1-1 draw at Doncaster on 1 September. Huddersfield's stronger start gives them a slight edge, but Notts County are unbeaten in the league.
- Huddersfield have 7 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 draw), sitting 2nd.
- Notts County have 5 points from 3 matches (1 win, 2 draws), sitting 7th.
- Huddersfield beat Oxford United 3-1 at home on 2026-09-01.
- Notts County drew 1-1 at Doncaster on 2026-09-01.
Huddersfield attacker Bojan Radulović started and scored in Tuesday's 3-1 win over Oxford United, but received treatment in the first half and was replaced by Ashley Fletcher after 63 minutes.
His availability for Saturday is unresolved, leaving Huddersfield's forward selection uncertain. If Radulović is limited or unavailable, the attack may need adjustment, though no replacement plan is confirmed.
- Sky Sports recorded a first-half stoppage for an injury to Bojan Radulović.
- Radulović scored in the 56th minute before Ashley Fletcher replaced him in the 63rd minute.
To watchSources checked 2 Sep 2026, 00:49 · Europe/BucharestHuddersfield Town vs Oxford United live updateswww.skysports.com · 1 Sep 2026
Huddersfield Town average 2 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match in League One this season.
Notts County average 1.3 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. Huddersfield's higher scoring rate could lead to an open game, but their defensive record is slightly worse than Notts County's. This suggests both teams may find the net.
- Huddersfield average 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
- Notts County average 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
- Huddersfield have scored 6 goals and conceded 2 in 3 league matches.
- Notts County have scored 5 goals and conceded 4 in 3 league matches.
Huddersfield Town have led at half-time in 43% of their matches this season.
Notts County have led at half-time in 27% of their matches. Huddersfield's tendency to start strongly could put them ahead early, but Notts County have also trailed at half-time in only 27% of matches, showing resilience.
- Huddersfield leading at half-time: 43%.
- Notts County leading at half-time: 27%.
- Huddersfield trailing at half-time: 29%.
- Notts County trailing at half-time: 27%.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Huddersfield Town

1.65fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 60.6%

0.0ppshort

Huddersfield's strong home form and Notts County's poor away record support the home win, but the odds are slightly short of our estimate.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Huddersfield Town or Draw

1.20fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 83.3%

−3.3ppshort

Huddersfield are unbeaten at home and Notts County have drawn most of their away games, making the double chance a safe but low-value option.

1 St Half Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Huddersfield Town or Draw

1.15fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 87%

−12.0ppshort

The market heavily favours Huddersfield not losing the first half, but our estimate suggests the true probability is lower, making this a poor value bet.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.80fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 55.6%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have scored in all league matches this season, but the edge is marginal.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.29fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 77.5%

0.0ppshort

Moderate first-half scoring rates suggest at least one goal, but the odds are too short for value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Huddersfield's stronger early-season form and superior goal difference give them the edge, especially at home.
- Huddersfield are 2nd with 7 points from 3 matches (W2 D1), while Notts County are 7th with 5 points (W1 D2).
- Huddersfield have scored 6 and conceded 2 in League One this season; Notts County have scored 5 and conceded 4.
- Huddersfield's only home league match was a 3-0 win over AFC Wimbledon; Notts County's only away league match was a 2-2 draw at Doncaster.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostHuddersfield TownEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Huddersfield's unbeaten start and home advantage make them unlikely to lose, while Notts County's draw tendency supports the double chance.
- Huddersfield are unbeaten in League One this season (W2 D1).
- Notts County have drawn 2 of their 3 league matches, including their only away game.
- Huddersfield have not lost at home in the league this season (1 win).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonHuddersfield Town or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Huddersfield's stronger first-half record at home gives them a slight edge, but the probability remains below 50%.
- Huddersfield led at halftime in 43% of recent matches, compared to Notts County's 27%.
- Huddersfield's home league match saw them lead 2-0 at halftime.
- Notts County trailed at halftime in their only away league match.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostHuddersfield TownEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Huddersfield's overall superiority suggests they could edge the second half, but uncertainty remains high.
- Huddersfield have outscored opponents in the second half in recent matches.
- Notts County have been less dominant in second halves, with mixed results.
- Huddersfield's home advantage may help them control the later stages.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostHuddersfield TownEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A Huddersfield lead at halftime and fulltime is plausible but not highly probable given the competitive nature of League One.
- Huddersfield led at halftime in 43% of recent matches and won 60% of those.
- Notts County have not won away this season.
- Huddersfield's only home league match was a comfortable win.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostHuddersfield Town / Huddersfield TownEstimated chance30%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Huddersfield have shown they can dominate halves at home, but repeating that against a solid Notts County side is uncertain.
- Huddersfield won both halves in their 3-0 home win over AFC Wimbledon.
- Notts County have not lost a half in their away match (drew both halves).
- Huddersfield's overall form is stronger, but winning both halves is a demanding outcome.
BetBugs · Win Both HalveslostHuddersfield TownEstimated chance25%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Huddersfield are unlikely to be losing at halftime at home, and a draw is also a common outcome.
- Huddersfield led at halftime in 43% of recent matches and drew in 28%.
- Notts County trailed at halftime in only 27% of recent matches.
- Huddersfield's home first-half record is strong.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonHuddersfield Town or DrawEstimated chance75%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring games, and Huddersfield's attacking output at home suggests goals are likely.
- Huddersfield's league matches have averaged 2.67 total goals (8 goals in 3 games).
- Notts County's league matches have averaged 3.0 total goals (9 goals in 3 games).
- Huddersfield average 2.0 goals scored per game; Notts County average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability, and Notts County's away draw indicates they can find the net on the road.
- Notts County have scored in all 3 league matches this season.
- Huddersfield have scored in all 3 league matches this season.
- Notts County's only away match ended 2-2, with both teams scoring.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate first-half scoring rates, making at least one first-half goal likely.
- Huddersfield average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded in recent matches.
- Notts County average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded in recent matches.
- In Huddersfield's last 5 league matches, 3 had a first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves have been productive for both teams, but the sample size is small, so confidence is low.
- Huddersfield's league matches have seen 8 total goals, with many coming after halftime.
- Notts County's away match had 4 goals, with 2 in the second half.
- Huddersfield average 1.4 second-half goals per game based on recent form.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to have low-scoring first halves, making it unlikely that both will score before halftime.
- Huddersfield average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
- Notts County average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
- In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in the first half only once for Huddersfield and once for Notts County.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 61% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 1W

W1-2HuddersfieldvNotts CountyAug 11, 2015LEA

D2-2Notts CountyvHuddersfieldJan 2, 2012LEA

L2-1HuddersfieldvNotts CountyNov 19, 2011LEA

3.3 goals/game avg

League Table

League One 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Huddersfield Town Promotion - Championship	3	2	1	0	6-2	7	WDW
7	Notts County	3	1	2	0	5-4	5	WDD

2pt gap between teamsHuddersfield Town leads the league

Recent Form

Huddersfield Town

W3-1Oxford UnitedSep 1LEA

W2-1Cambridge UnitedAug 29LEA

D1-1Milton Keynes DonsAug 22LEA

W3-0AFC WimbledonAug 15LEA

D1-1BlackburnAug 1FRI

W3-1MiddlesbroughJul 25FRI

W3-1OldhamJul 24FRI

L1-2Fleetwood TownJul 21FRI

L1-3Sheffield UtdJul 21FRI

W2-1AFC FyldeJul 18FRI

L1-3BirminghamJul 10FRI

W4-0AFC WimbledonMay 2LEA

L1-4Mansfield TownApr 25LEA

D3-3BoltonApr 18LEA

D1-1CardiffApr 14LEA

Notts County

D1-1DoncasterSep 1LEA

W2-1Burton AlbionAug 29LEA

D2-2LutonAug 22LEA

D1-1LeicesterAug 15LEA

D0-0WalsallAug 1FRI

L0-2Nottingham ForestJul 18FRI

L1-3Randers FCJul 14FRI

L0-2ViborgJul 11FRI

W5-0Alfreton TownJul 4FRI

W3-0Salford CityMay 25LEA

D0-0ChesterfieldMay 15LEA

W1-0ChesterfieldMay 10LEA

D1-1Bristol RoversMay 2LEA

W1-0ColchesterApr 25LEA

L1-2BarnetApr 18LEA

Squad & Injuries

Huddersfield Town

33 available

Attackers5

Midfielders13

Defenders10

Goalkeeper5

Notts County

31 available

Attackers6

Midfielders12

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3