Leicester City
BetBugs 45% · Market 50%
Leicester's superior shot volume and defensive record, combined with their higher division experience, give them a slight edge despite the away venue.
League OneFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Leicester are overpriced to win at 2.00 (45% model vs 50% implied), and the double chance at 1.25 is even worse value.
The only marginal lean is Both Teams to Score at 1.80, but the edge is negligible. Avoid first-half Over 0.5 goals at 1.36, as the market heavily overestimates an early goal.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Leicester CityBetBugs 45% · Market 50%
Leicester's superior shot volume and defensive record, combined with their higher division experience, give them a slight edge despite the away venue.
BetBugs 70% · Market 80%
Leicester's consistency and Notts County's mixed home form make the away side or draw the safer double chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 55.6%
Both sides have scored in 11 of their last 15 matches and neither defense is impenetrable, making BTTS a reasonable expectation.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 50% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Notts County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0 |
| 6 | Leicester CityPromotion - League One (Play Offs) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0 |

