Southampton vs West Ham: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The direct-to-penalties format increases the likelihood of a cautious, level match, and both teams' recent form and H2H history support a draw after 90 minutes.
- Southampton home form: 3W-2D-0L in last 5 home matches across all competitions
- West Ham away form: 1W-2D-2L in last 5 away matches across all competitions
- H2H last 4 meetings: 3 draws and 1 West Ham win
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance32%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Southampton's strong home form and West Ham's inconsistent away record make the home side avoiding defeat the most likely outcome.
- Southampton unbeaten in last 5 home matches (3W-2D)
- West Ham have won only 1 of last 5 away matches
- Southampton average 2.1 goals per game overall vs West Ham's 1.5
BetBugs · Double ChancelostSouthampton or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have similar first-half records, and the H2H history shows a tendency for level scores at the break.
- Southampton led at half-time in only 33% of matches
- West Ham led at half-time in 33% of matches
- H2H last 5 meetings: 3 draws at half-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both half-time and full-time is a plausible outcome given the teams' recent draw frequencies and the knockout format.
- Southampton have drawn 3 of last 15 matches
- West Ham have drawn 4 of last 15 matches
- H2H last 4 meetings: 3 draws
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent matches, and the combined scoring averages suggest a decent chance of at least three goals.
- Southampton average 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game
- West Ham average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game
- Combined average goals per match: 3.2
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides have consistent scoring records, and the H2H history shows frequent goals at both ends.
- Southampton have scored in 13 of last 15 matches
- West Ham have scored in 10 of last 15 matches
- Both teams scored in 3 of last 5 H2H meetings
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to find the net in the first half, making a first-half goal likely.
- Southampton average 0.7 first-half goals per game
- West Ham average 0.5 first-half goals per game
- Combined first-half goal average: 1.2
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves have been productive for both teams, but the knockout context may lead to more cautious play after the break.
- Southampton average 1.4 second-half goals per game (total goals minus first-half goals)
- West Ham average 1.0 second-half goals per game
- Combined second-half goal average: 2.4
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the combined average slightly exceeds the 9.5 line.
- Southampton average 5.6 corners per game
- West Ham average 4.8 corners per game
- Combined average corners: 10.4
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined yellow card averages suggest a reasonable chance of at least four cards in a competitive cup tie.
- Southampton average 1.7 yellow cards per game
- West Ham average 2.1 yellow cards per game
- Combined average yellow cards: 3.8
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance52%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Southampton1West Ham4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Southampton or Draw

Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Southampton

West Ham

Squad & Injuries

Southampton

West Ham