Yes
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have consistent scoring records and leaky defenses, making BTTS a strong possibility.
ChampionshipFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
West Ham are likely to win or draw, but the odds are too short to back.
The best value is Both Teams to Score at 1.95, where the model's 60% probability beats the 51.3% implied, giving a +8.7 point edge. Avoid the match winner and double chance markets—they are overpriced.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have consistent scoring records and leaky defenses, making BTTS a strong possibility.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
West HamBetBugs 45% · Market 74%
West Ham's superior squad quality and home advantage are offset by a very short price that already prices in a dominant win.
BetBugs 75% · Market 91%
West Ham's strong home resilience and Charlton's poor away record make a home win or draw highly likely, but the odds are extremely short.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 74% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | West Ham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1 |
| 5 | Charlton AthleticPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-1 | 3 |

