Santa Clara11 – 0Famalicao0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Santa Clara's stronger recent league form and home advantage give them an edge, but Famalicao's recent H2H success keeps the probability moderate.

• Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last 5 Primeira Liga matches (W3 D2), including a 1-0 away win at Academico Viseu and a 2-1 home win over SC Braga.
• Famalicao have lost their last two competitive matches (1-2 vs Maritimo, 2-3 vs Como) and have only 1 point from 2 league games.
• Santa Clara have won 2 of their last 3 home matches against Famalicao, though Famalicao won the most recent meeting 1-0 away.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSanta ClaraEstimated chance38%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Santa Clara's solid home form and Famalicao's poor away record make a home win or draw likely.

• Santa Clara have not lost at home in their last 5 Primeira Liga matches (W3 D2).
• Famalicao have won only 1 of their last 5 away league matches (D3 L1).
• Santa Clara's home record this season: 1 draw (2-2 vs Nacional), no losses.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonSanta Clara or DrawEstimated chance68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have trended toward lower-scoring games recently, and the H2H has been tight, supporting under 2.5 goals.

• Santa Clara's last 5 league matches have averaged 2.0 total goals, with 3 of 5 under 2.5.
• Famalicao's last 5 league matches have averaged 2.2 total goals, with 3 of 5 under 2.5.
• The last two H2H meetings produced 1 and 3 total goals, with Famalicao keeping clean sheets in both.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have shown defensive solidity at times, and the H2H suggests at least one team may fail to score.

• Santa Clara have kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
• Famalicao have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
• In the last two H2H meetings, Famalicao kept clean sheets against Santa Clara.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.

• Santa Clara average 0.7 first-half goals and concede 0.5 first-half goals per match.
• Famalicao average 0.3 first-half goals and concede 0.7 first-half goals per match.
• In 4 of Santa Clara's last 5 league matches, the first half had 1 goal or fewer.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, but the line is close to the average, making this a coin flip.

• Santa Clara average 4.5 corners per match and concede 5.0 corners per match (total 9.5).
• Famalicao average 6.1 corners per match and concede 4.5 corners per match (total 10.6).
• Combined average corners in matches involving these teams is around 10.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The card averages are near the line, and with no referee data, this is a low-confidence lean.

• Santa Clara average 2.3 yellow cards per match and their opponents average 2.5 yellow cards per match.
• Famalicao average 2.6 yellow cards per match and their opponents average 2.4 yellow cards per match.
• Combined average cards in matches involving these teams is around 5.