Draw
Market 45.5% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have high first-half draw rates and recent H2H matches were evenly poised at the interval.
Primeira LigaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Famalicao are solid at home and Maritimo struggle away, but the value lies in the first-half under 0.5 goals at 2.75 (24-point edge) and over 4.5 cards at 6.50 (44-point edge).
Avoid the short-priced double chance and home win, which offer no value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 45.5% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have high first-half draw rates and recent H2H matches were evenly poised at the interval.
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have modest scoring records and recent H2H meetings have been low-scoring, pointing to a tight contest.
Market 36.4% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams tend to start slowly, and recent H2H matches have been goalless at the break.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 83% leaves no cushion vs our 75% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1 |
| 3 | MaritimoPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-0 | 3 |

