Draw or Elfsborg
Market 67.6% · BetBugs 68%
Elfsborg's strong away form and H2H record make them unlikely to lose, supporting a double chance on the away side.
AllsvenskanFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Elfsborg are slight favorites on away form and H2H, but the market is efficient.
The only value is a thin edge on Double Chance Draw or Elfsborg at 1.48. Avoid Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, and first-half Over 0.5 due to heavy vig.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 67.6% · BetBugs 68%
Elfsborg's strong away form and H2H record make them unlikely to lose, supporting a double chance on the away side.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 59.9%
Both teams' recent matches and H2H history show a tendency for goals, with IFK's leaky defense contributing to higher totals.
BetBugs 58% · Market 65.4%
Both teams have consistent scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities, making BTTS likely.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 40% vs our 42% estimate leaves no meaningful edge; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | IFK Gothenburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22-38 | 19 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24-18 | 27 |

