Primera BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The best value is the first-half draw at 2.15 (model 55% vs implied 47%).
Curico Unido are overpriced to win at 1.91 despite San Felipe's awful away form, and double chance offers no edge. Expect a tight first half with few goals.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 46.5% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams rarely lead at half-time (Curico 20%, San Felipe 13%) and their first-half goal averages are low, making a level score at the break likely.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Curico UnidoBetBugs 40% · Market 52.4%
San Felipe's away record is dreadful (2W-1D-8L, 30 goals conceded in 11) and Curico won both recent home H2Hs by a combined 5-0, but the home side's own inconsistency caps the edge.
BetBugs 70% · Market 80%
Curico are unbeaten in 60% of home games and San Felipe are unbeaten in only 27% of away games, but the odds already price in a high probability.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 29% leaves no cushion vs our 30% estimate; the price already reflects the away side's poor form and the value is negligible.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Curico Unido | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18-32 | 20 |
| 14 |  Union San Felipe | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15-35 | 20 |