Draw
Market 29.4% · BetBugs 45%
Four consecutive H2H draws and both teams' home/away splits (Temuco 3 draws in last 5 home, Curicó 4 draws in 7 away) make a draw highly probable.
Primera BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Four straight H2H draws and four straight unders make under-2.5 goals at 1.91 the standout bet (70% model probability, +17.6-point edge).
The draw at 3.40 also offers value, but Temuco's home set-piece focus and Curico's away struggles tilt the double chance Temuco/Draw as a safer anchor.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 29.4% · BetBugs 45%
Four consecutive H2H draws and both teams' home/away splits (Temuco 3 draws in last 5 home, Curicó 4 draws in 7 away) make a draw highly probable.
Market 75.2% · BetBugs 80%
Temuco's strong home form (only 1 loss in 6) and Curicó's winless away record (0W-4D-3L) make a home win or draw highly likely.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 70%
Four straight H2H matches under 2.5 goals, combined with Curico's poor away scoring record (7 goals in 7 away games), strongly supports a low-scoring affair.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 3 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Deportes TemucoPromotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26-17 | 23 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15-24 | 15 |

