Draw
Market 30.3% · BetBugs 38%
H2H shows 4 draws in last 5 meetings, including 1-1 in the last three, and Curico's away record is draw-heavy.
Primera BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back the draw at 3.30—four of the last five H2H meetings ended 1-1, and our 38% probability beats the 30% implied by the odds.
Under 2.5 goals and both teams to score are reasonable secondary plays, but avoid the double-chance and first-half Under 1.5 lines due to poor value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 30.3% · BetBugs 38%
H2H shows 4 draws in last 5 meetings, including 1-1 in the last three, and Curico's away record is draw-heavy.
Market 46.5% · BetBugs 48%
Both teams have high rates of drawing at halftime, and the H2H shows a pattern of level first halves.
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 58%
H2H pattern of low-scoring draws and Curico's weak away attack support a low total.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 80% leaves no cushion vs our 72% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26-29 | 27 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18-28 | 20 |

